NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52303c698e0b0d8fdac0e307b6c309443d39466ec4b58d3ab05946c36f306568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 44,415$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 14,652$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.82 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 9,486$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 8,175$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 7,775$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 5,049$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.02 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 4,616$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 4,176$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.89 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 80c | 4,140$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 3,853$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…3ee7backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 3,634$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…f713backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 3,328$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 3,250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,817$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,430$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,268$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.51 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 2,142$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 2,089$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 1,981$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,798$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,780$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,773$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,686$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.79 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,573$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,541$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,501$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…fd17backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…df2abacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,319$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,178$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,032$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…e6eebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,004$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…dcc0backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…96f9backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 856.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 842.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 800$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 770.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 761.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 760.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 735.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…3c9abacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 714.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 672.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 588.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 554.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 542$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 499.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 479.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 448.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 405.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…53d8backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 400.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Thunder | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 393.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 389.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 341$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 328.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 322.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…abc4backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 307.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…f2ddbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 238.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 216.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…91b6backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 200.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 187.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 181.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…3d83backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 142.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 139.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 135.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 132.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…7cddbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 129.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 128.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 117.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 115.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…dfe8backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 115.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…c51fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 109.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 107.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…ffd4backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 104.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 101.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 100.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 100.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 100.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.