TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Panthers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche44c19,348$8,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,835.666163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers59c10,222$6,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,014.1992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…8cf7backed Panthers47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6342…7bd4backed Avalanche53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche54c3,713$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.7415261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…029ebacked Panthers51c2,563$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers51c1,979$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.6435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers47c1,559$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Avalanche53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.9519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Panthers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Avalanche58c820.83$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.676465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers3c727.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.897450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche55c605.01$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.511,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche52c595$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche42c575.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3628842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche37c552.79$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.661,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers46c521$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6179251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Panthers46c520.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacc6…bef1backed Panthers48c516.51$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche56c500$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.021,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Panthers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2258537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…ad17backed Avalanche53c499.91$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers46c499.84$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Avalanche53c485$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.959153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Panthers46c454.66$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.134452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Panthers61c404.58$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.182948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Panthers45c399.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9724347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche39c384.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5812955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche55c328.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.149861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Panthers47c319.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Panthers46c312.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…418fbacked Avalanche54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cca…a0bebacked Panthers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b1…e1d7backed Panthers47c295$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42ee…7501backed Avalanche53c290$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers40c281.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers47c278.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1a…c551backed Avalanche54c250.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8367…6f09backed Panthers47c250.12$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2d…9acabacked Avalanche54c241.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27c…a20fbacked Panthers47c241.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab8…e0bdbacked Avalanche54c232.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8962…875ebacked Panthers48c232.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x870c…ead0backed Panthers48c228.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6657…a58dbacked Avalanche55c228.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…ba72backed Panthers47c228.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed8…9cb4backed Avalanche54c228.41$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd573…f8bebacked Avalanche54c227.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0657…6f49backed Panthers47c227.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…d30fbacked Avalanche54c226.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2548…4812backed Panthers47c226.45$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf760…1920backed Panthers47c223.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222c…3fb6backed Avalanche54c223.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0be…fdafbacked Avalanche54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778b…1820backed Panthers48c221.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…d9b6backed Panthers47c221.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafec…e09ebacked Panthers47c221.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f5…bc3ebacked Avalanche54c221.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e4c…ef97backed Avalanche54c221.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…1f98backed Panthers47c220.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1131…5c82backed Avalanche55c220.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f9…ff9abacked Avalanche54c219.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c07…b0b6backed Avalanche55c219.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e0…59c4backed Avalanche55c219.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe913…0d48backed Panthers47c219.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a4…ed4dbacked Panthers47c219.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfc…cb8ebacked Panthers47c219.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aee…0d8fbacked Panthers47c219.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1750…08e7backed Avalanche54c218.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x940b…e4e5backed Avalanche55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb5…1776backed Avalanche55c218.15$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a40…4dccbacked Panthers48c217.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc779…cc31backed Panthers47c217.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8147…d106backed Avalanche54c217.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9f…1a1fbacked Avalanche55c217.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10c…6f3cbacked Panthers47c217.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc3…bc32backed Panthers47c217.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd813…315ebacked Avalanche54c216.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf718…87c0backed Avalanche53c216.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225c…a441backed Panthers48c216.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a2…71a0backed Avalanche54c215$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefb5…a489backed Panthers48c215$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4947…e077backed Avalanche54c214.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7660…7a01backed Avalanche55c214.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7652…cb0bbacked Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…bc1bbacked Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b7…0fe7backed Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec42…ed3dbacked Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d5…828fbacked Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c4…0424backed Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a31…a9b9backed Panthers47c214.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cf…56bdbacked Avalanche54c214.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa045…97ccbacked Avalanche54c214.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d83…3ac7backed Avalanche54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696b…ff9ebacked Avalanche54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…768bbacked Avalanche54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…baa4backed Panthers48c214.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…fe0abacked Avalanche53c214.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215d…9a44backed Panthers48c213.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7a…3f6dbacked Avalanche54c213.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.221060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.