NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2230675fc8bf96c405baaf9f8abc980cd7bf7c3e493199dd387ec7ae5ed3ed98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Warriors, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $954,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers | 71c | 155,309$110,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,123.08 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Warriors | 30c | 81,617$24,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,716.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Warriors | 19c | 70,054$13,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,310.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked 76ers | 54c | 59,737$32,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,623.63 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 39c | 54,061$21,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,793.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed 76ers | 67c | 50,282$33,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,438.07 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Warriors | 70c | 45,104$31,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,560.27 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 40c | 40,929$16,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,407.39 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Warriors | 71c | 34,613$24,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,444.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 72c | 31,147$22,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,443.71 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed 76ers | 75c | 27,314$20,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.91 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 51c | 26,254$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,970.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed 76ers | 77c | 20,417$15,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.21 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 29c | 20,000$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101.29 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers | 30c | 19,550$5,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,735 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed 76ers | 30c | 18,392$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,948.91 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked 76ers | 80c | 15,000$11,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.68 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked 76ers | 42c | 13,698$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,898.41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 72c | 13,477$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers | 30c | 12,523$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,766.18 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers | 26c | 10,317$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed 76ers | 76c | 10,200$7,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Warriors | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 20c | 8,965$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.38 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Warriors | 79c | 8,522$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 72c | 8,038$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.15 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed 76ers | 66c | 6,150$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 26c | 6,070$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.71 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 42c | 5,897$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.66 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers | 47c | 5,840$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.44 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Warriors | 75c | 5,620$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.05 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed 76ers | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed 76ers | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Warriors | 50c | 4,573$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.65 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed 76ers | 63c | 4,556$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.66 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked 76ers | 25c | 3,916$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.33 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 60c | 3,857$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.78 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 71c | 3,609$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.28 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 26c | 3,360$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 70c | 2,600$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers | 37c | 2,586$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.54 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…30c8backed 76ers | 25c | 2,480$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Warriors | 63c | 2,480$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9c…6007backed Warriors | 76c | 2,447$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 34c | 2,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Warriors | 69c | 2,090$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.22 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Warriors | 74c | 2,031$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.73 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed 76ers | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers | 29c | 1,945$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed 76ers | 65c | 1,924$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.85 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 76c | 1,800$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.7 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed 76ers | 24c | 1,782$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.24 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Warriors | 43c | 1,695$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked 76ers | 68c | 1,600$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed 76ers | 26c | 1,584$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.36 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Warriors | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed 76ers | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Warriors | 72c | 1,424$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.08 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed 76ers | 30c | 1,423$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Warriors | 52c | 1,356$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.84 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 32c | 1,355$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed 76ers | 52c | 1,318$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.72 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers | 26c | 1,226$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.06 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 72c | 1,200$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked 76ers | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.93 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed 76ers | 51c | 1,161$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.72 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Warriors | 8c | 1,150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Warriors | 6c | 1,128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers | 25c | 1,110$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.67 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Warriors | 69c | 1,000$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.71 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Warriors | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed 76ers | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 74c | 964.96$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.92 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Warriors | 31c | 815.14$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 73c | 803.42$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.48 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed 76ers | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 29c | 788.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Warriors | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked 76ers | 24c | 761.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.09 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed 76ers | 58c | 743.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.13 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers | 29c | 704.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.89 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 44c | 700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a7…554fbacked Warriors | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Warriors | 76c | 659.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed 76ers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Warriors | 66c | 604.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 25c | 600$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked 76ers | 72c | 590$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Warriors | 28c | 583.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…d1d0backed 76ers | 27c | 574.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.