MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20406a87ddbc30605edf8e4339460d8cba091298c07afab9d986776f149c5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,268,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,318,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,268,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 32c | 1,693,915$550,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550,450.4 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 67c | 1,011,107$681,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,335.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Marlins | 33c | 300,720$99,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,180.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 67c | 184,113$123,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,787.19 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 67c | 143,500$96,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,355 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 67c | 128,696$86,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,249.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 68c | 111,536$75,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,664.17 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 67c | 82,033$55,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,803.78 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 67c | 75,600$50,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,948 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 68c | 75,000$51,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Marlins | 33c | 50,763$16,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,836.16 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 67c | 49,423$33,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,309.56 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 67c | 44,947$30,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,728.74 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 67c | 41,962$28,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,847.43 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 33c | 40,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 67c | 34,119$22,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259.27 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 68c | 26,640$18,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,524.92 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 69c | 18,179$12,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 69c | 15,910$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.53 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 67c | 15,500$10,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 67c | 15,053$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.49 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 67c | 13,079$8,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.91 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Phillies | 67c | 10,549$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.17 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 68c | 9,764$6,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.4 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 69c | 8,843$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 68c | 8,514$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.37 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Phillies | 68c | 7,000$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Marlins | 31c | 5,033$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 4,215$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Phillies | 69c | 3,913$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.04 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Phillies | 68c | 3,110$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.2 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 68c | 3,099$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.83 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 68c | 3,080$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.7 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Phillies | 68c | 3,054$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Phillies | 70c | 2,920$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Marlins | 19c | 2,630$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 32c | 2,438$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies | 70c | 2,352$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.38 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Marlins | 31c | 1,869$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 70c | 1,638$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 71c | 1,573$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Phillies | 68c | 1,105$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Phillies | 67c | 1,082$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Marlins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Phillies | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Phillies | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 74c | 822.95$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Marlins | 32c | 799.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 77c | 789$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Phillies | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 68c | 734.19$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 27c | 728.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 70c | 665.34$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Phillies | 66c | 599.97$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 33c | 545$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 69c | 541.89$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Marlins | 21c | 471.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 75c | 430.53$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 31c | 400.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 71c | 393$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Phillies | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 74c | 333.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 72c | 317.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Phillies | 67c | 316.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Phillies | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 8c | 293.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…2f2fbacked Phillies | 68c | 274.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Marlins | 30c | 266$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 29c | 251.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 33c | 227.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Phillies | 69c | 220.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10f…a499backed Marlins | 31c | 213.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Marlins | 32c | 198.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 70c | 195$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 71c | 194$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Phillies | 70c | 178.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Phillies | 68c | 168$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Phillies | 68c | 159.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 69c | 153$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Phillies | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Marlins | 33c | 149.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Marlins | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Marlins | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 72c | 121.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 32c | 110.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Phillies | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 19c | 107.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Marlinsthis page
- Phillies vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.