MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe8f015244bec4811185b5a76e4db2b74ee2f7c37a972db3839e37499d28f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Nationals, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Nationals | 29c | 13,934$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 71c | 10,143$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.55 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 73c | 6,609$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 28c | 6,543$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.54 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 71c | 4,215$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees | 71c | 3,163$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.38 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Yankees | 71c | 2,369$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 16c | 2,327$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Yankees | 72c | 2,006$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Nationals | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nationals | 29c | 1,865$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nationals | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 22c | 1,434$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nationals | 1c | 1,393$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nationals | 29c | 1,331$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 30c | 1,136$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 69c | 1,057$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 28c | 861.49$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Yankees | 72c | 637.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 28c | 538.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nationals | 28c | 498.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Yankees | 72c | 397.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 28c | 349.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Nationals | 22c | 330.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Nationals | 31c | 325.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Nationals | 30c | 296.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…23c5backed Yankees | 72c | 285.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Yankees | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 24c | 202.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Yankees | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Yankees | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 70c | 186.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 70c | 144.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 72c | 143$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yankees | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Yankees | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Yankees | 72c | 139.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yankees | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yankees | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yankees | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…4215backed Yankees | 72c | 138.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Nationals | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Nationals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Nationals | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Nationals | 29c | 99.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…8d2ebacked Yankees | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yankees | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 30c | 79.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yankees | 72c | 72.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Yankees | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Nationals | 29c | 69.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…c009backed Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 28c | 62.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed Yankees | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nationals | 28c | 50.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nationals | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…a86fbacked Nationals | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nationals | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Yankees | 72c | 38.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Nationals | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Nationals | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yankees | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Yankees | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yankees | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yankees | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…1765backed Yankees | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Yankees | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yankees | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…230fbacked Yankees | 72c | 22.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…98aebacked Yankees | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Yankees | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…b492backed Yankees | 71c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…db3dbacked Yankees | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Yankeesthis page
- Nationals vs. Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.