MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa252e301dd80d81f84cd3b5125e858c6062d067197a8ac2921ec4b9bac43deee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Guardians, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 31c | 538,518$166,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,499.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 170,770$118,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,671.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 69c | 125,304$86,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,844.24 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 69c | 113,350$78,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,138.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 69c | 33,000$22,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,230 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 69c | 26,813$18,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,312.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 17,532$12,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 69c | 13,333$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.23 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 31c | 10,770$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.69 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Guardians | 30c | 8,460$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 70c | 7,093$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.93 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 79c | 6,975$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.89 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 70c | 6,623$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 70c | 6,597$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.1 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 69c | 6,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 70c | 5,059$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Guardians | 30c | 5,012$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Guardians | 29c | 4,677$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 62c | 4,117$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Red Sox | 71c | 4,050$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Red Sox | 69c | 3,956$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.47 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 78c | 3,519$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.9 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Sox | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.33 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Red Sox | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 2c | 2,879$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 67c | 2,849$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Red Sox | 70c | 2,626$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 2,246$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.36 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Red Sox | 68c | 2,039$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.52 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 32c | 2,037$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Red Sox | 68c | 2,037$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 65c | 2,012$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.06 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Red Sox | 70c | 1,765$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Red Sox | 70c | 1,625$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.44 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Guardians | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Guardians | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Guardians | 35c | 1,461$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.27 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,440$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 69c | 1,440$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,412$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Guardians | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 26c | 1,198$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 31c | 1,113$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.03 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 30c | 1,042$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 29c | 902$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Guardians | 30c | 853.21$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 30c | 768.14$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 77c | 719.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 70c | 640.77$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.23 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Red Sox | 70c | 640.07$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 68c | 634.31$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox | 73c | 582.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 68c | 569.31$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Guardians | 30c | 500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Guardians | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 69c | 472.02$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Red Sox | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Guardians | 25c | 449$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Red Sox | 70c | 417.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Red Sox | 70c | 374$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 31c | 359.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 50c | 357.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Red Sox | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 30c | 349.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Red Sox | 70c | 345.73$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Guardians | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 73c | 291.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 9c | 258.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 69c | 249.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Guardians | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Guardians | 38c | 225.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Guardians | 39c | 223.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Red Sox | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Red Sox | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Red Sox | 69c | 205$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Guardians | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Guardians | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Guardians | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Guardians | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Guardians | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Red Sox | 77c | 149.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox | 70c | 143.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Red Sox | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…53f7backed Red Sox | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Red Soxthis page
- Guardians vs. Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.