TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x256a…9d0ebacked Grizzlies45c31,938$14,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,253.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies24c21,477$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,13827041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings56c17,331$9,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.9565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies23c15,319$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.091,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Kings71c14,415$10,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.156361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies37c13,491$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.1170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies43c10,793$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,641.1730443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies21c10,613$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.4861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Kings57c9,454$5,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040.316863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Grizzlies16c9,003$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.3526235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kings55c8,102$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.8525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings57c7,656$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.241,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies14c6,947$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.281,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Grizzlies42c6,000$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings56c5,721$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.3720047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies43c5,529$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.586450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…078fbacked Kings57c5,360$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Grizzlies43c4,396$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.371376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Grizzlies44c3,976$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7536533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies13c3,267$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa28…e599backed Grizzlies32c3,140$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.442330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies31c2,980$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92013140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77cf…9d82backed Kings66c2,777$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings59c2,615$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.1762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies40c2,560$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies3c2,294$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.661,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings58c2,058$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.4950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Kings58c2,049$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.6117243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Grizzlies33c1,888$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Kings66c1,818$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.85532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kings59c1,500$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Grizzlies20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Kings61c1,477$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.792458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Grizzlies15c1,412$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.644126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings56c1,383$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.8873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked Grizzlies42c1,366$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed Kings58c1,354$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies42c1,273$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies41c1,224$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies3c1,172$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.424573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Kings61c1,145$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4138143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Grizzlies29c1,102$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.13938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies14c1,100$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Grizzlies44c1,080$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.618632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Kings58c1,002$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.415358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Kings57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…4322backed Grizzlies20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Kings58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+104.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Grizzlies42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9926049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Grizzlies22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.993129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Grizzlies42c999.86$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies17c969.23$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings61c888.64$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9125651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Kings62c871.72$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.256347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…25a2backed Grizzlies43c863.79$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Grizzlies29c840$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.66642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Kings62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4512563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings66c778.37$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.651,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Kings65c778.27$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Kings64c765.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies3c722$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.175502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings55c721.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Grizzlies43c720.93$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31034644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings65c707.12$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.781,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Kings75c700.89$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0119939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Grizzlies14c700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kings72c693.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.616261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Kings78c649.51$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2710656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x558e…9d39backed Kings73c637.28$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.283663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies32c632.46$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings57c622.72$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4547948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Grizzlies29c618.61$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings57c610$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.722955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies20c606.16$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.621,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings57c605$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.861,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Grizzlies29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1749330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf2…6432backed Grizzlies19c520.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.193748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Kings63c500.3$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.117352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked Grizzlies20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Kings80c499.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Kings58c499.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9910151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings57c489.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6930440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings57c484$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Kings62c479.02$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0312657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Grizzlies43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies31c463.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Grizzlies43c462.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.62462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Grizzlies42c459.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.211337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f89…93ddbacked Grizzlies44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1772…35afbacked Grizzlies18c450.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11636057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.