TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Devils, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaeb2…8b1ebacked Devils48c10,051$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6b…0b74backed Kings52c10,044$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Kings48c10,030$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.61275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+100.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings49c7,198$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.9823642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…7240backed Devils52c6,992$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Devils50c5,221$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.7735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Devils51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5509459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd67…4123backed Devils52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Kings50c2,700$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Devils51c2,667$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings49c2,600$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…f55ebacked Devils49c2,482$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…618fbacked Kings51c2,482$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa06f…90acbacked Kings51c2,378$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Devils5c2,371$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.493141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils50c2,278$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.091,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Kings49c2,036$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.125253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Devils53c1,874$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…e434backed Kings51c1,805$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Kings49c1,495$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.1420345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Devils56c1,367$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0613361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Kings52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.854271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Devils1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings50c999.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils17c988.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings46c968.77$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Devils58c952.51$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5496149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32a2…d0dbbacked Kings51c941$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…6623backed Devils49c878.53$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfac3…2930backed Kings51c878.53$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Kings47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb7…1f0abacked Devils52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e8…6022backed Kings51c776.1$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e37…8925backed Devils49c776.1$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Devils54c743.22$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils5c665.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.087450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Kings50c665.64$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.826956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils51c657.17$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.151,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa447…57a2backed Kings51c598.63$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf3…ce57backed Devils49c598.63$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings49c549.68$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.341,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Devils50c524.95$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Devils50c479.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings47c445.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.369153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings49c431.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Devils51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings48c416.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0419438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Kings49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Devils50c399.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa09…94f6backed Devils50c315.05$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Kings73c295.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.741450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Devils53c293.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Kings51c285.26$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.89547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Devils36c260.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.914151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa63d…7c74backed Kings51c257.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8451…a27dbacked Devils49c257.78$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils21c241.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.093,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings50c202.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc740…9b0dbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb561…3de0backed Devils50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Devils54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Devils50c198.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.361580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x405a…6382backed Kings50c198.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.36875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Devils51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0838040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3772…e3f7backed Devils52c166.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Kings49c160.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.72050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Devils54c159.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kings48c132.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6948654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Kings70c128.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d1…a2cebacked Kings50c123.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Kings73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Kings47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95b…96f2backed Devils50c116.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Devils51c113.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x543f…35bcbacked Devils53c111.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…b8e3backed Devils53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8915…f275backed Kings49c102.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Kings49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Devils26c101.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Devils16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Kings49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5337254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Devils47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Kings51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de0…45fabacked Devils55c94.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…4c62backed Kings49c94.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Devils50c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…585ebacked Kings50c90.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Kings46c87.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e3…0456backed Kings48c81.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41e…d19dbacked Devils52c80.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e0…8371backed Devils52c80.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Devils51c80.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Devils50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Kings47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5710…227bbacked Kings51c77.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.