TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Sabres, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche30c8,617$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.386163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres69c6,986$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.3492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres33c2,298$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.781,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068b…9301backed Avalanche68c1,209$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.55540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche17c1,208$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.841,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Avalanche47c1,131$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.211258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche31c1,089$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.9231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres40c795.79$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Sabres72c702.63$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Avalanche50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche62c599.94$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.981,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres33c588.75$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6741851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres25c557$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.587450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche19c494.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche3c484$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.211895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Avalanche68c463.63$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6324945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Avalanche48c450$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.58744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres33c441.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Sabres79c340.84$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.261450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sabres34c327.29$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.289153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Avalanche69c324.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Avalanche66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Sabres34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres31c285.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Sabres31c271.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres32c255$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Sabres59c162$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8813846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres49c150.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Sabres31c149.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.069861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Avalanche68c146.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.682142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Sabres72c145.65$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Avalanche25c144$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche66c137.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Avalanche51c137.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.135143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Avalanche67c134.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.335347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd259…42a0backed Sabres72c132.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Sabres34c120.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Avalanche67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Avalanche66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Avalanche69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Sabres60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e73…30b3backed Avalanche67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sabres50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres33c82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78cb…8c8fbacked Sabres34c79.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Avalanche67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6319852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86cf…03f5backed Sabres34c73.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche67c73.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb536…3121backed Sabres34c70.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0427…2543backed Sabres34c64.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34a…5517backed Avalanche67c61.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Avalanche70c56.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb46…aba3backed Avalanche66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcd…2822backed Avalanche66c53.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Avalanche67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2443256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa160…8e65backed Avalanche66c51.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.516100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Avalanche68c51.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.166959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Avalanche69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc069…46bfbacked Avalanche66c46.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…2f37backed Avalanche66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d5…c735backed Sabres32c44.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b4…82dfbacked Sabres32c42.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07f…e356backed Avalanche68c42.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Avalanche67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515e…60aebacked Avalanche66c39.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8556…f9eabacked Sabres33c37.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Avalanche67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.318445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa167…4108backed Avalanche69c36.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf302…d774backed Sabres33c35.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…e6e3backed Avalanche68c34.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ad…dab4backed Sabres33c34.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8108…62e5backed Avalanche68c34.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…147abacked Sabres32c34.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…8371backed Avalanche68c33.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde68…a68dbacked Avalanche67c33.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2922…d41cbacked Avalanche68c32.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ce…1f9bbacked Sabres32c32.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a31…718fbacked Avalanche68c32.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Sabres32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…f140backed Avalanche69c29.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Avalanche67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Avalanche67c29.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Avalanche68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.417659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Avalanche68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4119057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Avalanche68c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.269260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc605…d364backed Avalanche68c28.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b31…8384backed Avalanche68c28.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x186c…832fbacked Avalanche68c25.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ae…b12cbacked Avalanche67c25.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3977…5f76backed Avalanche68c24.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c8f…9223backed Avalanche68c24.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…7c4abacked Avalanche67c23.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…7340backed Avalanche68c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.