MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab78cf6dbd510af9e30c52655d03c13a9e53425821015c8787a7b69232a3ab85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,324,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,336,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,324,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 61c | 905,565$552,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552,391.24 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 39c | 604,240$235,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368,845.84 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cubs | 39c | 503,757$196,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307,291.87 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 61c | 91,126$55,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,586.86 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 61c | 76,736$46,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,808.87 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 61c | 41,924$25,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,448.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 39c | 25,222$9,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,385.42 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 60c | 21,147$12,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,620.56 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.99 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cubs | 40c | 18,127$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,919.73 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 24c | 13,076$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.01 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Braves | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 60c | 7,838$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.61 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 33c | 6,429$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.52 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Braves | 58c | 6,060$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.85 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 62c | 5,184$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 54c | 4,792$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.19 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 40c | 4,119$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.42 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 60c | 3,954$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 58c | 3,716$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.66 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 60c | 3,577$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 61c | 2,635$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.35 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 61c | 2,050$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 60c | 2,013$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.81 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 63c | 1,998$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Braves | 38c | 1,909$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.99 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cubs | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Braves | 61c | 1,677$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.77 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Braves | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Cubs | 39c | 1,603$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 43c | 1,468$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.67 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Braves | 61c | 1,440$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.4 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cubs | 39c | 1,338$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 59c | 1,329$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.15 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 43c | 1,258$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.33 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Braves | 58c | 1,250$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cubs | 38c | 1,236$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 40c | 1,200$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cubs | 40c | 1,040$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Cubs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cubs | 38c | 985$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.7 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Braves | 58c | 955.82$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 64c | 939.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 61c | 930$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.3 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 43c | 929.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Cubs | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Braves | 62c | 766.13$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cubs | 38c | 738$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 8c | 690$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Braves | 59c | 674.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 67c | 670$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 32c | 617.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 62c | 596$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 54c | 567.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Cubs | 40c | 528.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 38c | 509.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.85 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Cubs | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Cubs | 40c | 493.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 40c | 484.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 35c | 471$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 39c | 469.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.23 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 33c | 461.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs | 49c | 410.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs | 40c | 380$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 31c | 375.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 24c | 373.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Cubs | 74c | 345.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 39c | 313$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Braves | 57c | 292.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cubs | 38c | 270.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 58c | 268.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 48c | 257.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cubs | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Cubs | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 40c | 193.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cubs | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cubs | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 39c | 179.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Braves | 59c | 173.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Cubs | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Cubs | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 62c | 119.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cubs | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Braves | 44c | 109.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 61c | 108.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Braves | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Braves | 62c | 103.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Bravesthis page
- Cubs vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.