NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6db6dab1be2e6d415a2e19c0fef237c1d684c5ffd87f2bc6ceb2a338df971f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Hornets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 7c | 33,745$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.82 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Hornets | 14c | 25,981$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.52 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hornets | 18c | 20,498$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.62 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…7b15backed Hornets | 2c | 10,011$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 6c | 7,895$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.72 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hornets | 2c | 5,676$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hornets | 17c | 3,053$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.96 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hornets | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 17c | 2,942$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 18c | 2,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 4c | 2,089$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Hornets | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Hornets | 18c | 1,761$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 2c | 1,554$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Hornets | 6c | 1,510$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Hornets | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hornets | 10c | 1,232$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 77c | 1,208$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.48 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hornets | 7c | 1,206$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 8c | 1,033$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Kings | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Hornets | 17c | 999.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 20c | 976$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 18c | 935.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hornets | 14c | 931.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Hornets | 16c | 884.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets | 19c | 863.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 12c | 807.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…6c10backed Hornets | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 21c | 744.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Kings | 78c | 728.87$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets | 18c | 726.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Hornets | 6c | 710$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 24c | 700.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 3c | 687$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets | 14c | 677.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Kings | 80c | 583$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked Hornets | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…f5e1backed Hornets | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Hornets | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…12e4backed Hornets | 20c | 507.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Hornets | 20c | 500.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Hornets | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 20c | 422$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Hornets | 18c | 405.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Hornets | 6c | 401.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Hornets | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 80c | 376$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Kings | 76c | 372$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Hornets | 18c | 372$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed Hornets | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…5b0ebacked Hornets | 9c | 350$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets | 18c | 314.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 6c | 309.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…160bbacked Hornets | 19c | 294.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Hornets | 18c | 288.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5173backed Hornets | 18c | 286.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…0573backed Hornets | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…bc0cbacked Hornets | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Hornets | 17c | 268.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 16c | 263.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…6e13backed Hornets | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Hornets | 12c | 262.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Hornets | 18c | 258.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…b08abacked Hornets | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…65c3backed Hornets | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Hornets | 8c | 252.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Hornets | 10c | 252.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Hornets | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Hornets | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…f179backed Hornets | 19c | 247.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed Hornets | 20c | 246.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…e918backed Hornets | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hornets | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…6034backed Hornets | 5c | 237.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…5f73backed Hornets | 22c | 236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…889bbacked Hornets | 18c | 233.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…1319backed Hornets | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Hornets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Hornets | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Hornets | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…7f74backed Hornets | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hornets | 18c | 176.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf3…30dbbacked Hornets | 17c | 164.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Hornets | 18c | 159.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Hornets | 8c | 158.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…aba1backed Kings | 78c | 156$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.