TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Maple Leafs, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs38c2,999$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.7331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hurricanes62c2,546$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes60c1,998$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs38c1,797$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.861,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x665c…1583backed Maple Leafs59c1,015$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Maple Leafs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Hurricanes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Maple Leafs39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Maple Leafs4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hurricanes48c661$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Hurricanes60c602.26$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.94553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes62c575$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Maple Leafs58c539.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hurricanes64c460.02$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.274045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs38c325.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Hurricanes65c320$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.26147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs6c292.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.777450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Hurricanes44c265$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.47532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes61c249.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Maple Leafs40c190.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1324…5bf4backed Maple Leafs40c188.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs39c152.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs45c134.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Maple Leafs39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Hurricanes62c123.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.754266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1620…d3c4backed Hurricanes62c120.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs56c115$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Maple Leafs40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs38c99.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Hurricanes61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.993647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf1…8a3fbacked Maple Leafs29c95.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Maple Leafs38c95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3f…c91ebacked Hurricanes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs39c72.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4b…5c4fbacked Hurricanes62c70.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs38c66.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Hurricanes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5218259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa568…6987backed Maple Leafs40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed0…f77ebacked Hurricanes62c61.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3586…60d5backed Maple Leafs40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs40c59.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4321…c862backed Maple Leafs39c59.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked Maple Leafs22c54.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fed…6101backed Maple Leafs39c52.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0411…da81backed Hurricanes61c50.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ef8bbacked Maple Leafs31c50.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e3…5797backed Maple Leafs40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…d1b6backed Maple Leafs40c49.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Hurricanes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.397659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Hurricanes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3919057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f3…9dc8backed Maple Leafs40c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3279…4e11backed Maple Leafs39c43.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs34c42.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7983…d3d4backed Hurricanes56c41.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…76f2backed Maple Leafs44c41.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Maple Leafs39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41fe…c45bbacked Maple Leafs40c39.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ea…ae32backed Hurricanes56c39.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f5…eea4backed Maple Leafs44c39.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e8…048ebacked Maple Leafs39c38.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751e…3f30backed Hurricanes60c38.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb811…d0c9backed Hurricanes60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ce…fae5backed Hurricanes62c36.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3c…5f25backed Hurricanes61c35.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5741…507ebacked Maple Leafs39c35.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb4…5f6abacked Hurricanes61c34.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd378…4b0cbacked Hurricanes56c34.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…982cbacked Maple Leafs39c34.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea25…4438backed Hurricanes56c33.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Hurricanes60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…02ebbacked Maple Leafs44c32.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb920…1495backed Hurricanes56c32.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05ea…7c7dbacked Hurricanes61c32.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf03b…39cdbacked Hurricanes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ab…13cebacked Hurricanes61c31.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hurricanes61c31.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x163c…b17abacked Maple Leafs40c31.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce7…ad4fbacked Hurricanes58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…39babacked Maple Leafs44c30.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc859…6678backed Hurricanes56c30.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d7…528cbacked Hurricanes61c29.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54a…fabfbacked Hurricanes60c29.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e5…d079backed Maple Leafs40c29.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…4c6ebacked Maple Leafs39c29.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b58…aebebacked Hurricanes61c29.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0092…9425backed Hurricanes61c29.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534e…218ebacked Hurricanes56c29.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c9…6e4ebacked Maple Leafs44c29.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0d…1b23backed Maple Leafs44c29.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Hurricanes62c29.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.032065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Hurricanes60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.610941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…a752backed Maple Leafs39c28.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052e…f3abbacked Maple Leafs39c28.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2a…478fbacked Hurricanes61c27.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa28e…4990backed Maple Leafs46c27.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.