MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b9d1437d78b55729decfd0d73adbfe7d31c0aa6bd8ee9e24f7e3b25c8372a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Athletics | 55c | 18,314$10,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,103.71 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…4772backed Twins | 52c | 12,890$6,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 33c | 10,717$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…4864backed Athletics | 38c | 9,996$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…04d6backed Twins | 62c | 9,219$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twins | 65c | 6,053$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.58 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Athletics | 38c | 6,028$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.5 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Twins | 51c | 5,878$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 34c | 5,017$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.82 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 32c | 3,918$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.41 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Twins | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 36c | 2,659$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Twins | 66c | 2,523$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.69 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 2,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 1c | 2,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 65c | 2,090$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 55c | 1,987$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.3 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Athletics | 16c | 1,929$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +413.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 34c | 1,873$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Athletics | 64c | 1,565$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 27c | 1,496$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 36c | 1,403$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.87 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Athletics | 48c | 1,399$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.64 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Twins | 52c | 1,330$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.55 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 19c | 1,310$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Twins | 65c | 1,171$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.65 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 61c | 1,147$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2a63backed Athletics | 52c | 1,129$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Athletics | 16c | 1,010$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 64c | 999.89$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Athletics | 36c | 899.88$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 62c | 777$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Twins | 46c | 761.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 35c | 704.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 34c | 703.93$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.82 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Twins | 49c | 701.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Twins | 40c | 626.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.69 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…1c51backed Twins | 66c | 619.52$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 64c | 582$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Twins | 48c | 559.21$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Twins | 79c | 534$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Twins | 66c | 500.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Twins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Athletics | 59c | 444.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 41c | 444.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Twins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Athletics | 5c | 416.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Athletics | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 12c | 367.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Athletics | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 12c | 353.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Twins | 63c | 323.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Athletics | 37c | 323.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins | 72c | 303.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Twins | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Athletics | 34c | 265.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 46c | 199$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…d7f2backed Athletics | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Athletics | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 41c | 157.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Athletics | 53c | 156.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…0474backed Twins | 63c | 156.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Athletics | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Athletics | 54c | 120.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…4597backed Twins | 65c | 118.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 35c | 114.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…6b1bbacked Athletics | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…96e2backed Twins | 63c | 105.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Twins | 66c | 101.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 64c | 101.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Twins | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Twins | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 42c | 92.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Twins | 63c | 87.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…1a01backed Athletics | 36c | 82.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Twins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Twins | 65c | 77.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Athletics | 62c | 73.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Twins | 65c | 62.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Athletics | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 35c | 55.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…7687backed Twins | 65c | 51.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Athletics | 36c | 48.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5febbacked Athletics | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…bb30backed Twins | 65c | 47.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Twins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Twins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…2211backed Athletics | 36c | 46.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Athletics | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Twins | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.