NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9281a2185ab5e465a9237e992035c1328551a32c320f39b2f7d93f77ad51a3d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Ducks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Flames | 63c | 39,025$24,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,340.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks | 37c | 21,525$7,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,942.57 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 66c | 12,139$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Ducks | 35c | 9,065$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.6 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 37c | 8,649$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.78 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 37c | 5,977$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.63 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 58c | 4,134$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.66 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…d458backed Flames | 63c | 3,620$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…78febacked Ducks | 37c | 2,009$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 53c | 1,933$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.62 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Ducks | 24c | 1,727$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 36c | 1,644$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 37c | 1,494$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 35c | 1,124$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.4 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Ducks | 37c | 999$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…647cbacked Ducks | 37c | 944.64$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Flames | 63c | 610.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Ducks | 37c | 591.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 38c | 433.78$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Ducks | 36c | 411$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 36c | 411$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Flames | 62c | 373.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…54e5backed Ducks | 37c | 335.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…07dbbacked Ducks | 37c | 331.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Flames | 63c | 238.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks | 36c | 220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Ducks | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Ducks | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Flames | 61c | 199.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 39c | 191.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Flames | 63c | 150.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Ducks | 58c | 145.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Ducks | 37c | 136.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Ducks | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…bdc2backed Ducks | 37c | 132.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Flames | 63c | 121.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…d4eabacked Ducks | 37c | 120.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…52dbbacked Flames | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…018ebacked Ducks | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…2307backed Ducks | 39c | 114.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 38c | 100.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Flames | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Ducks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9b91backed Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flames | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Flames | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flames | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Flames | 61c | 99.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ducks | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…1babbacked Flames | 80c | 97.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 19c | 90.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…40a6backed Flames | 64c | 82.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Ducks | 37c | 81.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…6315backed Flames | 64c | 80.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Ducks | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Flames | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…b9e5backed Flames | 64c | 79.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…869fbacked Flames | 64c | 78.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Flames | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…51edbacked Ducks | 37c | 76.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Flames | 63c | 76.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…ec4bbacked Flames | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Ducks | 40c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…8fb0backed Flames | 64c | 75.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…a53bbacked Ducks | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Ducks | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flames | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5ca5backed Flames | 64c | 72.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ducks | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…e0e6backed Flames | 67c | 67.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6a22backed Ducks | 39c | 65.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…82c2backed Flames | 63c | 61.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…3191backed Flames | 62c | 59.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16e…7351backed Flames | 62c | 56.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…35e8backed Ducks | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Ducks | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…4ad4backed Ducks | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…ed97backed Flames | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Ducks | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Ducks | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…f6ddbacked Flames | 61c | 38.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…7cc9backed Ducks | 39c | 37.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…7ebebacked Ducks | 39c | 35.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Ducks | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…270abacked Ducks | 39c | 32.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…ba7fbacked Flames | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…f649backed Flames | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Flames | 62c | 32.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…9c84backed Ducks | 37c | 32.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.