TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Mavericks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks17c27,061$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks1c17,995$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks18c5,337$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.7146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Mavericks10c5,258$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mavericks17c4,697$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.7528341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks7c4,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Mavericks14c3,577$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.743246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks21c3,153$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2340627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16e…4076backed Mavericks17c2,931$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Mavericks18c2,773$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Mavericks9c2,533$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks20c2,045$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Mavericks19c1,998$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.61850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers79c1,906$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c3b…3ad8backed Mavericks1c1,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Clippers80c1,602$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.391861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Mavericks20c1,600$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Mavericks16c1,546$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.366841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks21c1,500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Mavericks17c1,419$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2219535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks22c1,411$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks18c1,332$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.741,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Mavericks4c1,300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-91.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Clippers72c1,249$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…f9d9backed Mavericks18c1,141$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks9c1,071$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Mavericks8c1,045$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.731434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x597c…e2b1backed Mavericks16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Mavericks2c897.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9423237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks2c650$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Mavericks18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks25c516$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Mavericks20c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Mavericks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Clippers80c490.47$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0911956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Clippers80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Clippers79c383.16$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4633348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa9…2642backed Mavericks17c317.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick34cpaid+130.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Clippers79c299.97$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9930351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…ef94backed Mavericks17c264.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks15c258$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Mavericks21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Mavericks19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Clippers80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621062.9%132 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8843…2e85backed Mavericks19c177.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…99dfbacked Mavericks20c176.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.241030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x981a…112bbacked Mavericks19c176.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Mavericks17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks12c155.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mavericks17c154.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7333746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e6…46b2backed Mavericks19c145.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Mavericks14c133$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6226040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Mavericks15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Mavericks16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…5c0cbacked Mavericks19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks14c121$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0973445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…bcc3backed Mavericks20c120.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Mavericks14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.815613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Mavericks17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f3…a7dbbacked Mavericks17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Mavericks17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…c1febacked Clippers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Clippers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203461.8%21 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Mavericks19c99.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Mavericks20c99.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Mavericks17c99.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8971823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Mavericks13c84.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9627731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9d…a8b2backed Clippers80c82.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Clippers80c81.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Mavericks21c80.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Clippers80c80.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Mavericks19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks15c78.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2162349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Mavericks21c73.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5949…6d11backed Mavericks21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710343.7%45 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b71…d3e0backed Mavericks19c66.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+88.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc35b…0bdfbacked Mavericks19c64.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d37…a5f0backed Mavericks21c61.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…765ebacked Mavericks19c60.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e76…7ecbbacked Mavericks20c60.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Clippers65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2139548.4%191 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Mavericks20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…36a4backed Mavericks20c58.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…2853backed Mavericks20c55.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.194261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2799…ae03backed Mavericks20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10170%0 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Clippers79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Clippers80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Clippers80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc850…d0a7backed Clippers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52060%12 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0441…4dc4backed Clippers80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752962.1%18 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f36…2305backed Clippers80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7510369.9%72 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.