Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0acb3555593ec7e1514dd0de5e87b5705bba6a30b5ab68af58a5581128dde7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 64c | 13,068$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.53 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 38c | 12,656$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.04 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 9,554$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.06 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 79c | 9,446$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.03 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 6,559$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.63 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 70c | 6,036$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 77c | 4,568$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.24 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 69c | 2,595$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 66c | 1,664$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.82 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 31c | 1,581$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.12 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 32c | 1,307$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.72 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 70c | 1,211$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 1,033$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 59c | 1,003$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.63 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 68c | 914.29$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 64c | 865.27$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.77 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 65c | 828.77$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.7 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 42c | 672.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 31c | 545.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 31c | 489.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 64c | 468.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 68c | 402.49$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…863ebacked Yes | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2954backed No | 32c | 345$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6d31backed No | 33c | 315$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…6f0abacked Yes | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 71c | 290.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 66c | 249.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…b944backed No | 32c | 246.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…1f8abacked Yes | 66c | 246$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 64c | 233.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…9853backed No | 35c | 220.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 50c | 204.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 31c | 201.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 39c | 193.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Yes | 78c | 188.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 69c | 187.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 46c | 178.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 36c | 178.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Yes | 68c | 142.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7de3backed No | 36c | 136.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…6ad1backed No | 36c | 129.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…427dbacked Yes | 66c | 127.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4a9fbacked No | 35c | 124.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 33c | 124$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 70c | 121.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 33c | 119.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 60c | 114.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 63c | 111.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…4aabbacked Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…0b5bbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 33c | 99.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 61c | 98.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e9b3backed Yes | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 31c | 87.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…c8f9backed No | 35c | 86.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…3381backed Yes | 70c | 85.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…12d1backed Yes | 70c | 84.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed No | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…634dbacked No | 34c | 76.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…1ff6backed Yes | 67c | 76.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…cd52backed Yes | 67c | 75.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…554ebacked Yes | 66c | 74.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…4b38backed No | 35c | 72.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed No | 34c | 72.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Yes | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…7438backed Yes | 67c | 70.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…dd89backed Yes | 66c | 69.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…b05cbacked No | 34c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…536cbacked Yes | 66c | 68.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…e815backed Yes | 66c | 68.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…3430backed Yes | 66c | 68.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Ipswich end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.