Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccef6e800e6250866fc11a51da5a756c5145022ba8167b0a9a68ead75d6ad615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa56d…9a34backed Yes | 12c | 23,938$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 78c | 22,206$17,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.63 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 24c | 9,924$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.8 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 15c | 6,772$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 34c | 5,887$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 3,154$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.96 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,049$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,038$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.89 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Yes | 33c | 2,417$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 14c | 1,632$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 1,215$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 15c | 856.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 29c | 696.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 13c | 483.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 13c | 419.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 11c | 416.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 7c | 415$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Yes | 13c | 395$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 395$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 14c | 362.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…eaabbacked Yes | 12c | 202$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 16c | 201.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Yes | 15c | 170.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 35c | 83.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 73c | 74.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Ipswich end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.