Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120d2b86fb83a61414d03c594f54b67923df3e46c1d837dd891c26c5a408ca43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 13,032$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,595.43 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 53c | 10,958$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.86 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 9,907$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.33 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…9a34backed Yes | 45c | 9,902$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 21c | 9,383$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,383.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 24c | 4,143$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 2,316$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.16 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,294$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.64 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes | 67c | 1,156$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 49c | 715.89$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.09 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 72c | 680.65$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 79c | 512$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.6 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 19c | 480$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.71 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…2a84backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 34c | 445.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 45c | 444.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 45c | 404.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 79c | 380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 30c | 334.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3c7ebacked Yes | 21c | 314.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 44c | 273.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…4e82backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +230.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 48c | 192.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 187.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 70c | 142.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 139.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ec7dbacked Yes | 19c | 119$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 24c | 106.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 42c | 106.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…fb89backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…6b89backed No | 79c | 93.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d819backed Yes | 19c | 93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ae…56d7backed Yes | 19c | 83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…91efbacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…efdebacked Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…0734backed Yes | 19c | 76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…d4fbbacked Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 47c | 71.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 30c | 50.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…ee31backed Yes | 72c | 43.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes | 36c | 38.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 53c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 71c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 72c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.