Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ab4c3cb17cc96c1ad7efd41f166e5b4b5cabc321bf50c7ee00dbf87b14a68f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d96…ff58backed Yes | 23c | 10,001$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…79b8backed No | 77c | 9,992$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…0bcfbacked Yes | 23c | 9,992$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked No | 77c | 9,991$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 914.25$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.53 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 79c | 763.99$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…1dd1backed Yes | 23c | 695$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Yes | 23c | 655$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 22c | 655$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed No | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 4c | 641.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 625.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.18 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 531.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.81 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 39c | 463.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 61c | 463.93$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed No | 77c | 360$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 35c | 345.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 78c | 345$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 21c | 322.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 77c | 258.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…d484backed No | 77c | 225$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…318dbacked No | 77c | 220$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…3fc6backed Yes | 22c | 195$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 23c | 195$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed No | 43c | 163.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 79c | 137.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 31c | 125.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 116.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 81.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 40c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…e780backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 68c | 52.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e3…38f3backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…396dbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fb43backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…9579backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.