TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes33c15,074$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,074.264070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c5,720$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No68c4,597$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.738941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c4,076$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.2111153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c3,978$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.2334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c2,804$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No4c2,692$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.692142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No67c1,823$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2264971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No21c1,619$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed No68c1,350$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes33c1,321$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.214030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c1,200$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes33c1,193$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.224546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes28c991.84$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.779440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…3a1ebacked Yes33c975.95$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c917.5$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No68c593.51$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.593253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c528.07$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9522373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes73c439.14$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.522763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No34c379.17$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.216535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c378.04$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes33c352.62$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.261844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No67c324$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c323.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.022,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes26c304.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.326936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c1…deecbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes32c272.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.65028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No26c253.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c240.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c201.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9ad…8c85backed No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c179$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes32c176.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.282766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked No68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No63c167.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.214136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.527237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+98.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x602e…2980backed No67c144$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes32c141.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No68c141$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c140.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2313658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes52c132.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe73d…601abacked No67c117$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d20…6911backed No67c116$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No29c105.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51be…1805backed Yes32c94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c90.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7910242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c90.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5216219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes33c90$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.31435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked No68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed No68c80.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0def…6b7bbacked Yes22c76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No67c74.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No68c73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.642080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes34c67.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.957135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked No23c59.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.694634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c49.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.485176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes34c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes28c42.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.862842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No54c41.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462556%14 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x407d…1fe8backed No68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Yes33c36.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.888453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x010b…b668backed Yes74c29.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0d…c09abacked No68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed No75c26.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.757558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No67c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7414255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No67c24.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7313160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No63c24.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.168940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes56c21.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No67c20.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No67c19.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No64c18.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.053060%18 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.