TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c13,927$10,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.5568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c10,289$7,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.9322348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c6,453$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.4798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c5,678$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.288042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes26c5,008$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3024837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c4,934$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.8448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0404860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,100$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80613517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c1,875$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,282$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.512,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c1,193$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.361,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No73c816.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.573026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c737.15$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed No75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c651$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c642.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes55c621.67$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes75c613.4$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16212920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes11c560.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes14c560.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No73c552.71$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.239440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes28c516.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.584623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No35c458$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Yes26c438.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes25c424$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b6…3f65backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b4…11babacked Yes27c285.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642520%5 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c254.19$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c250.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No74c209.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.68659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c195.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No74c191.42$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.676535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No38c185$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0114549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c184.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.195028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c183$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c181.73$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes26c179.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.556253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No32c142.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes27c139.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c132.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No74c129.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2114553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c126.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x434a…ee25backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e01…a0b0backed Yes29c118.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes46c107.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed No75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.335653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No75c89.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342580%20 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes26c86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes26c78.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693a…a7f5backed Yes29c68.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+70.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No67c66.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Yes27c64.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.861936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e6…298dbacked Yes27c59.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c55.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No36c54.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed No75c49.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.863545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes27c38.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.381225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c31.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c30.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No76c30.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No74c29.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.729944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No74c29.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes64c27.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes70c27.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.487750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No75c26.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdf…509dbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No65c25.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275a…4d33backed No75c23.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322d…37febacked No74c21.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.