TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bearsof Eagles, Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Bears45c150,404$67,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,058.8986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Eagles54c74,908$40,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,450.116860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Eagles56c23,250$12,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,9493351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles57c22,442$12,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,791.721,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Eagles57c22,126$12,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,612.038856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Eagles56c16,518$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.959949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bears43c16,450$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,376.527454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Eagles55c12,461$6,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.253522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bears46c11,623$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.4347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bears44c11,594$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.091,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Eagles55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Bears44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9914450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles56c9,341$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.9735848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bears44c9,250$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1808551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f4…efebbacked Eagles55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Eagles57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Eagles55c8,500$4,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,675560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Bears45c7,370$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.493863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Eagles55c5,994$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3005754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Bears43c5,580$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.66645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Bears46c4,370$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.574146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Eagles57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Bears44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24014342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Eagles56c3,839$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.654940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x63b2…e1b1backed Eagles54c3,820$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bears44c3,760$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Eagles56c2,750$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d83…d3f2backed Bears45c2,507$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Eagles48c2,201$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3039…85f1backed Bears46c1,975$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa732…1fb0backed Bears46c1,845$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Eagles56c1,464$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8202540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Eagles56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009444.7%42 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bears50c1,149$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bears71c1,120$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bears45c1,004$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bears44c1,000$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Eagles55c999$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.452245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bears44c948.9$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.3832050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bears45c913.5$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6936341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Eagles57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45614151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Eagles57c653.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Eagles57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507850%39 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bears45c575.68$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Eagles55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Bears44c508$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bears45c499.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27323647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…88dfbacked Eagles55c498.03$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.75563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Eagles56c441$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6714641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x071e…0d11backed Bears45c435.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.561070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+68.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed Bears69c408.7$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Eagles56c312.77$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17126857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Eagles55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Eagles54c265.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Eagles34c218.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.083557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Bears50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bears44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Eagles57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Eagles57c175.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.954748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bears46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Bears44c135.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.767045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Bears45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.339348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Eagles57c128.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.27147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Eagles57c110.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.146041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaff5…5e4dbacked Bears46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Eagles56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Eagles50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Eagles56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Bears75c90.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.417044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Bears46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.969948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd87b…946dbacked Bears45c75.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Eagles57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Bears46c65.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.368552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Bears46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.220354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6733…576abacked Bears46c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e5…6f6abacked Eagles37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Eagles56c40.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6313339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bears45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2232043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bears63c36.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Eagles56c35.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b7…74a9backed Eagles57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+87.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Bears44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.097647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Bears45c30.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.826940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Eagles56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Eagles55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Eagles55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.755945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Eagles55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Eagles55c21.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b6…fba3backed Eagles56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Eagles56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec8…eaefbacked Eagles54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.