NFL · resolved market

Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fcbbc517cc6e2e39fa4eab3adb336b7e6bade39399f533ad590d0643bdc03f8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under	53c	25,000$13,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,749.95	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Over	47c	21,473$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under	53c	11,647$6,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,474.25	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under	54c	10,221$5,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,701.66	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9105…97f2backed Over	47c	9,574$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under	53c	7,000$3,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,260	155	55.5%86 W · 69 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Under	55c	5,018$2,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.2	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	49c	3,793$1,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.57	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	54c	3,480$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.8	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	47c	3,368$1,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,582.96	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Over	47c	3,191$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under	56c	2,877$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.88	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over	52c	2,658$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.16	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0323…77e4backed Under	53c	2,212$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Over	47c	2,212$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.73	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	1,928$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.03	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over	45c	1,832$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.32	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under	53c	1,358$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.48	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	45c	1,080$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over	48c	750$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	55c	720.86$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.86	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	159	44%70 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Over	47c	531.91$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	95	36.8%35 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over	46c	440$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.4	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Over	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	-12.5wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Over	44c	388.57$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Over	51c	388.25$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.01	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over	44c	371.46$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.44	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over	45c	368$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.6	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2381…ea41backed Over	47c	316.49$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Over	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	274.75$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.12	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	46c	260.87$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over	45c	241.46$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.66	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	47c	234.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Over	47c	213.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	330	47.9%158 W · 172 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	49c	199.96$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.97	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Over	47c	197.87$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Under	55c	181$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.45	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	56c	180$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	45c	177$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.65	139	59%82 W · 57 L	+12.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	47c	175$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	45c	133.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over	47c	117.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ced…9b7cbacked Under	54c	113$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	65c	110$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cc…d8b3backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a5…729bbacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a74…d69ebacked Over	47c	99.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Over	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Over	46c	85.07$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Under	50c	85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	48c	83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd87b…946dbacked Over	47c	73.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Over	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	47.9%56 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Under	51c	64.71$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.71	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ed…fb75backed Over	47c	59$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb809…af45backed Over	47c	54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	45c	53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	163	60.1%98 W · 65 L	+16.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Under	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f6…7742backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	242	43.4%105 W · 137 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	45c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	40.8%69 W · 100 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00bb…9185backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Over	45c	39.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41e…eca9backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f2…6d82backed Under	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	155	56.8%88 W · 67 L	+13.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	45c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Under	51c	32.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+6.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event