College Football · resolved market
Rutgers vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784d49077cd4ff3af9d41c19f6c15f1f0a30f8cde91fe509298cc06ca24a795c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof Rutgers, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rutgers | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Illinois | 79c | 4,773$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.28 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Rutgers | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Illinois | 79c | 3,729$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.01 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois | 79c | 3,089$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.86 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Illinois | 80c | 2,811$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Illinois | 80c | 2,525$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rutgers | 20c | 2,005$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Rutgers | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Illinois | 80c | 1,621$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Rutgers | 14c | 1,436$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rutgers | 15c | 1,430$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Rutgers | 19c | 1,199$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rutgers | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Rutgers | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rutgers | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Illinois | 80c | 510$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Rutgers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…1faabacked Rutgers | 19c | 456$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…c6a4backed Rutgers | 19c | 436$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rutgers | 15c | 398$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…ac7fbacked Rutgers | 19c | 365$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Rutgers | 20c | 355.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rutgers | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Rutgers | 21c | 336.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rutgers | 18c | 269$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rutgers | 19c | 255.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Rutgers | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Rutgers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rutgers | 20c | 242$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rutgers | 19c | 232.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…ddc7backed Rutgers | 19c | 232$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9993…a11cbacked Rutgers | 19c | 231$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Illinois | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Rutgers | 13c | 194.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…e348backed Rutgers | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…bc3dbacked Rutgers | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers | 19c | 148$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Illinois | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Rutgers | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rutgers | 19c | 104.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Rutgers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…29f4backed Illinois | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…44c1backed Rutgers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ba…68bebacked Illinois | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Rutgers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…a393backed Illinois | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…0f56backed Rutgers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…0b7cbacked Rutgers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Rutgers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Rutgers | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Rutgers | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Rutgers | 21c | 64.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rutgers | 19c | 58.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rutgers | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Rutgers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers vs. Illinoisthis page
- O/U 62.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois (-12.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-13.5)Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.