College Football · resolved market
O/U 62.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767663cb4f10f0656e378328a72df1fc8bc5093fb6cc3f6e48105ae98cc1fd9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 49c | 2,945$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.17 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Under | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed Under | 51c | 1,909$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…5a53backed Over | 49c | 1,591$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…21e0backed Over | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…a8b2backed Over | 49c | 1,542$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…a2fcbacked Under | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c64…d791backed Under | 51c | 1,421$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…4f31backed Over | 49c | 1,312$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…20b1backed Over | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…4e74backed Over | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…4053backed Under | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…3827backed Under | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…9d19backed Under | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…a6d3backed Over | 49c | 992$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 47c | 799.81$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Under | 53c | 799.81$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.91 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7bcdbacked Under | 51c | 768$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 587$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…5794backed Under | 51c | 384$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…645cbacked Under | 51c | 364$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…8a3bbacked Over | 49c | 217$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 51c | 192.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 62.5this page
- Rutgers vs. IllinoisIllinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-12.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-13.5)Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.