TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Navy vs. North Texas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Texasof Navy, North Texas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Navy33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9927246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed North Texas67c15,589$10,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,144.5293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Navy8c7,060$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.5627648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed North Texas68c6,314$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.4411653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Navy32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Texas67c6,045$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.612,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Navy13c6,019$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.7417443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed North Texas68c4,417$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.2734250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked North Texas69c4,114$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.9529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Navy12c3,034$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Navy31c2,952$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.2549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Navy32c2,820$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.9334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy4c2,598$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked North Texas69c1,887$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Navy11c1,809$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas68c1,631$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas80c952.92$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Navy31c797.49$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.227448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed North Texas68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Navy30c552$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.619120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Navy18c522$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…b63fbacked Navy20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy9c451$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6257144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…e348backed Navy12c410$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Navy13c389.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3313…881ebacked Navy33c336.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Navy21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy10c249$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Navy25c175$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7540244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231a…2597backed Navy32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed Navy33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ee…dd42backed Navy33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Navy31c149.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Navy31c149.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4817634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked North Texas68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed North Texas69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.952692.3%24 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick73cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked North Texas69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9316044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed North Texas67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.221629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Navy8c134.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.754411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked Navy18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Navy32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327335.6%26 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ed…f088backed Navy32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f3…f6bebacked Navy32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c61…9875backed Navy34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x719f…db30backed Navy32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6e…adb0backed North Texas69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…11abbacked North Texas68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…892fbacked North Texas67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Navy11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3525819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0c…6280backed North Texas68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbad…32a2backed North Texas68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7293…37cbbacked North Texas68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfd…063ebacked Navy32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…429abacked Navy33c96.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Navy32c94.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.154146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed North Texas67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed North Texas69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.467867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Navy30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Navy32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…7346backed Navy32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked North Texas67c60.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a18…9d39backed Navy32c60.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a0…e864backed North Texas68c60.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked North Texas69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9718868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked North Texas69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.979752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Navy31c56.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf453…9c8dbacked Navy32c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dab…3cc4backed North Texas68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d3…cabfbacked Navy32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.724533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4de…cb5cbacked North Texas69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.472060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked North Texas69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.997464.9%48 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed North Texas80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b08…3a39backed North Texas68c24.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce4…80dfbacked North Texas69c20.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00c…6806backed North Texas69c17.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876c…7d86backed North Texas69c17.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.39966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de0…e2b0backed North Texas69c16.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…8057backed North Texas69c16.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3489…3392backed North Texas69c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…92abbacked North Texas69c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6543…3f50backed North Texas69c15.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x446d…e550backed North Texas69c15.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bb…df9ebacked North Texas69c14.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1604…4976backed North Texas69c14.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abb…fe2fbacked North Texas69c14.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2367…b687backed North Texas69c14.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ef…da47backed North Texas69c14.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d85…3839backed North Texas69c14.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.