College Football · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e620f1fc28d5678806f851a559ccc576efad05cb692bcc16b9f6b34d5df1d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Techof Sam Houston Bearkats, Louisiana Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 70,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 63,884$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.21 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 61,482$6,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,763 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 51,059$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.48 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 45,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 26,500$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 26,408$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.93 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 24,600$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 0c | 12,070$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 11,111$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.21 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 10,018$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 6,618$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.96 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 6,169$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.9 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 0c | 5,974$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 6c | 4,532$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 3,462$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 3,234$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…0cafbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 3,010$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cb92backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 2,906$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…31dcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 2,601$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…ad92backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4c8bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 1,226$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…3391backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…df64backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 841.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 728.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 707$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 679.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 632.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 476.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 322$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 149.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…ee9ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 149.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 136.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…83f0backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…27f1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 84.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…a228backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 79.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef1…3172backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 77.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Techthis page
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-16.5)Louisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5)Louisiana Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.