College Football · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9b912eadbd5c07e9b85ecc2e26a1437d055ced97d9a9eed0ab8e0309858cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ee…d891backed Under | 51c | 4,274$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ad63backed Over | 49c | 3,511$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2d7bbacked Over | 49c | 2,956$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…5848backed Under | 51c | 2,809$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…af0abacked Over | 49c | 1,889$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…c304backed Over | 49c | 1,775$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…76cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,677$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…3d8abacked Under | 51c | 1,421$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c3…060dbacked Over | 49c | 1,218$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…e261backed Under | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…58a2backed Under | 51c | 1,041$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…c284backed Over | 49c | 957$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…e6cebacked Over | 49c | 951$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…55a4backed Under | 51c | 942$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…c49fbacked Under | 51c | 933$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…31cbbacked Over | 49c | 922$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…dbc3backed Under | 51c | 867$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…b66cbacked Over | 49c | 836$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…b1debacked Over | 49c | 657$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 50c | 543.14$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.14 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…faa1backed Under | 51c | 512$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…9b7cbacked Under | 51c | 413$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…b580backed Over | 49c | 396$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…03ffbacked Under | 51c | 327$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…f17bbacked Over | 49c | 198$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…4eabbacked Over | 49c | 49.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…6487backed Under | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…7b62backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…00d7backed Over | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…d7d6backed Under | 51c | 45.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ebaebacked Over | 49c | 45.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…4d4ebacked Under | 51c | 45.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 38.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…3d22backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 48.5this page
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-16.5)Louisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5)Louisiana Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.