College Football · resolved market
O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ccb3eea7eace9bb4e2ec31f313f52e6bae15f408ccf3ad91e6b3b7c5f8bb6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 48c | 8,302$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,656$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.87 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…3ce7backed Under | 53c | 1,699$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 1,524$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.72 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 53c | 1,324$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.72 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…5f41backed Under | 53c | 1,017$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…9678backed Over | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…b7f7backed Over | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…d8e3backed Over | 47c | 878$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…fb1fbacked Under | 53c | 809$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…3ccabacked Under | 53c | 702$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…ba61backed Over | 47c | 688$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…8f97backed Over | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…2616backed Under | 53c | 43.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…5f9fbacked Over | 47c | 43.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 54c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 49.5this page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-16.5)Louisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5)Louisiana Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.