College Football · resolved market
Houston vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3254a0cf8812d3f1c98c352de420347523ca6e94978f52d5d206f051be3707c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houstonof Houston, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Arizona State | 8c | 29,540$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.02 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Arizona State | 71c | 15,985$11,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,322.82 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Houston | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston | 45c | 8,254$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.94 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Houston | 68c | 6,539$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.45 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arizona State | 8c | 6,347$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.8 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Houston | 73c | 5,665$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.91 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona State | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston | 26c | 3,969$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.23 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 40c | 3,819$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.78 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arizona State | 68c | 3,436$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.72 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Houston | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed Arizona State | 10c | 3,293$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Houston | 53c | 3,053$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.37 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State | 23c | 2,348$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arizona State | 71c | 2,283$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.04 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Houston | 36c | 1,935$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.54 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Houston | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arizona State | 72c | 1,368$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.21 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Houston | 25c | 1,366$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.56 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arizona State | 37c | 1,205$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.95 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Arizona State | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Arizona State | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Arizona State | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Houston | 42c | 841.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Houston | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Houston | 28c | 774$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston | 74c | 766.15$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston | 68c | 763.09$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona State | 73c | 722$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Houston | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Houston | 59c | 669.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…edd1backed Arizona State | 7c | 619.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Houston | 28c | 600$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Arizona State | 5c | 570.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Arizona State | 40c | 540$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Houston | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Arizona State | 35c | 477.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1a06backed Arizona State | 6c | 468.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Houston | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston | 62c | 385.09$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Arizona State | 72c | 356.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.81 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Arizona State | 72c | 314$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Arizona State | 31c | 302.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston | 39c | 276.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Houston | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Houston | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Houston | 29c | 174.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe012…d14bbacked Houston | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arizona State | 7c | 166.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Houston | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Houston | 61c | 146.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Arizona State | 70c | 144$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Arizona State | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Houston | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…1a95backed Arizona State | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed Arizona State | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Arizona State | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Houston | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Houston | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Arizona State | 37c | 98.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Houston | 29c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Arizona State | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Houston | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…c1e5backed Arizona State | 20c | 76.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Houston | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Houston | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Houston | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Houston | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Houston | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Arizona State | 44c | 57.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Arizona State | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Houston | 61c | 54.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Houston | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed Houston | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Houston | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8d…170abacked Arizona State | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Houston | 64c | 39.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…eb70backed Houston | 69c | 36.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Houston | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Houston | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Arizona State | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…cee5backed Arizona State | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8d67backed Arizona State | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Houston | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…1a9dbacked Houston | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston vs. Arizona Statethis page
- Houston vs. Arizona State: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona State (-7.5)Houston won
- Spread: Arizona State (-8.5)Houston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.