NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d3f9365dfcbd4eb8a3878f086466abf29643b3cdacbe630e8e8dbdd0935f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Predators | 55c | 32,183$17,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700.88 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 55c | 23,881$13,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,134.46 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 55c | 8,995$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.23 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Ducks | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Predators | 12c | 7,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Ducks | 45c | 6,191$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.91 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 4c | 5,955$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Predators | 13c | 4,420$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.43 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 56c | 4,398$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.88 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Ducks | 44c | 3,806$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.18 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Predators | 35c | 3,292$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.51 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 45c | 2,944$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.56 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Predators | 56c | 2,689$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.65 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 80c | 2,637$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 8c | 2,393$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 44c | 2,069$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Predators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Predators | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 25c | 1,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 54c | 1,365$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 24c | 1,348$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b7…fac9backed Predators | 56c | 1,263$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…72dfbacked Predators | 56c | 1,233$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Ducks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ducks | 47c | 1,070$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Ducks | 71c | 1,026$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.93 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…8e4fbacked Ducks | 45c | 895$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Predators | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Ducks | 45c | 755.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.56 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1be1…bb93backed Predators | 56c | 755.36$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Predators | 9c | 702.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Ducks | 45c | 686.45$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Predators | 9c | 673.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 60c | 593.57$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 44c | 563.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 69c | 534.89$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…5b87backed Ducks | 45c | 530$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 44c | 521$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…72a5backed Ducks | 46c | 515.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…25dcbacked Ducks | 45c | 502$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ducks | 78c | 501.72$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Predators | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…76d8backed Ducks | 45c | 483.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…c84fbacked Ducks | 46c | 476.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Ducks | 78c | 439.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…afd5backed Predators | 55c | 425$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Ducks | 55c | 416$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Predators | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 44c | 400$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Predators | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…0bd3backed Predators | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Predators | 36c | 332.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…bab7backed Ducks | 45c | 324.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…8b9cbacked Predators | 56c | 324.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Predators | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 44c | 234.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Predators | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ducks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Predators | 55c | 205.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Predators | 56c | 192.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Predators | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Predators | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed Predators | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…1829backed Ducks | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ducks | 43c | 153.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Ducks | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Ducks | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Predators | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Predators | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…eaecbacked Predators | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 44c | 115.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Ducks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Predators | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…1f78backed Predators | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Predators | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Ducks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Ducks | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Ducks | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Predators | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Predators | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Ducks | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Ducks | 70c | 55.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Ducks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…84d7backed Predators | 56c | 48.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…2b5bbacked Predators | 55c | 47.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Predators | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Ducks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Predators | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Ducks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Ducks | 62c | 41.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Predatorsthis page
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.