College Football · resolved market
Notre Dame vs. Boston College
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1608b787fa59feb413698c866c6f68d47cffdd41033c07e16a9dd77b9c364fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Notre Dame, Boston College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Boston College | 3c | 50,000$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.11 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston College | 9c | 14,428$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.24 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Boston College | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Boston College | 2c | 5,838$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Boston College | 4c | 5,570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Boston College | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston College | 4c | 2,059$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Boston College | 4c | 1,700$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Boston College | 9c | 1,606$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Boston College | 10c | 1,109$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston College | 3c | 1,056$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Boston College | 6c | 985$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Boston College | 9c | 947.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Boston College | 3c | 935.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Boston College | 4c | 905$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Boston College | 3c | 881.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Boston College | 3c | 757.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Boston College | 4c | 701.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston College | 9c | 688$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Boston College | 3c | 606$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Boston College | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…5761backed Boston College | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Boston College | 3c | 449.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boston College | 6c | 430.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boston College | 6c | 398$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Boston College | 4c | 336.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Boston College | 10c | 301.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Boston College | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston College | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame vs. Boston Collegethis page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5)Boston College won
- Spread: Notre Dame (-31.5)Boston College won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.