Us Politics · resolved market
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b642d364ac780ac5afe241cdb28af3d8fe576cbb163475f56ee3f099c520dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 23c | 55,695$12,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,540.85 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 46c | 44,534$20,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,438.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 23c | 18,360$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,108.37 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 52c | 15,740$8,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.97 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 53c | 12,578$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 55c | 12,138$6,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.59 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Yes | 18c | 11,471$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,374.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 34c | 11,335$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 56c | 7,685$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.9 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 24c | 7,424$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.28 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 25c | 7,400$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 13c | 7,142$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 58c | 7,035$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 63c | 4,977$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 4c | 4,317$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 16c | 4,063$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 56c | 3,500$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed Yes | 16c | 3,072$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Yes | 16c | 3,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 34cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 53c | 2,922$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.66 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 70c | 2,849$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.11 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 46c | 2,781$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 45c | 2,778$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.72 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked No | 50c | 2,700$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Yes | 58c | 2,697$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed No | 69c | 2,645$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 5c | 2,293$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 63c | 2,282$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…a2a9backed Yes | 25c | 2,030$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…3947backed No | 53c | 1,770$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 44c | 1,603$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.87 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed Yes | 43c | 1,560$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,500$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…ed0cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,327$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 39c | 1,320$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.95 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.64 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 1,245$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.46 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…dc80backed No | 43c | 1,235$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 54c | 1,211$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.38 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 67c | 1,157$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.04 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.41 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 57c | 973.68$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…14e3backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 62c | 940$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.25 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…3e46backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…c52abacked Yes | 38c | 853.79$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 75c | 834.03$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 47c | 765.39$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.63 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 19c | 750$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 745.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 3c | 674.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 55c | 656.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933e…84d0backed Yes | 48c | 656.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 641.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 57c | 607$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.01 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…faacbacked Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 59c | 587.9$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.62 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 50c | 574.07$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.07 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…7d13backed Yes | 19c | 531.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 48c | 526$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 51c | 503.13$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 60c | 464.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…1c69backed Yes | 28c | 450.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…201bbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…cf28backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 52c | 376.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…d930backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 41c | 349.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f3…cbbabacked Yes | 75c | 326.35$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 30c | 321.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 311.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 49c | 278.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 39c | 262.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…6514backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…bf1abacked Yes | 17c | 250.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +503.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed No | 40c | 250.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed No | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed Yes | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 23c | 246$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 28c | 241.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…430cbacked Yes | 53c | 222.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 46c | 215.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked No | 61c | 210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…f18cbacked Yes | 20c | 200.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes | 55c | 199.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.