Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a399b5e808b13feb746facd37f897d83bf705e511e772fc4e7ba69b55aa23a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osakaof Muchova, Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Muchova | 28c | 41,143$11,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425.95 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Muchova | 28c | 38,827$10,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,871.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Osaka | 72c | 31,976$23,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Osaka | 72c | 24,488$17,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,842.31 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Osaka | 73c | 20,343$14,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Muchova | 12c | 9,800$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.35 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Muchova | 11c | 9,600$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Muchova | 25c | 8,492$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Osaka | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Muchova | 26c | 6,989$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Muchova | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Osaka | 69c | 5,700$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Osaka | 73c | 5,199$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.73 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Osaka | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Muchova | 6c | 3,879$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Muchova | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Muchova | 9c | 3,639$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.32 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Muchova | 31c | 3,584$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.06 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Muchova | 28c | 3,500$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.5 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Muchova | 21c | 3,267$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Osaka | 74c | 2,999$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.84 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Osaka | 74c | 2,927$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Osaka | 69c | 2,540$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.11 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Muchova | 23c | 2,522$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.38 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Osaka | 74c | 2,500$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.23 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Osaka | 70c | 2,470$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.51 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Muchova | 25c | 2,394$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Osaka | 79c | 2,344$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Osaka | 73c | 2,285$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Muchova | 31c | 2,058$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.94 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Muchova | 21c | 2,029$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Muchova | 7c | 2,027$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Muchova | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Osaka | 67c | 1,650$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.19 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Muchova | 27c | 1,501$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Muchova | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Osaka | 73c | 1,401$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Muchova | 28c | 1,357$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Muchova | 15c | 1,233$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Muchova | 27c | 1,068$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Osaka | 71c | 1,058$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Muchova | 23c | 1,035$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Muchova | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Muchova | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Muchova | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Muchova | 31c | 993.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Muchova | 13c | 980$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Osaka | 77c | 905$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Muchova | 10c | 902.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Osaka | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Muchova | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Osaka | 74c | 821.62$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Osaka | 72c | 802.86$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Muchova | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Muchova | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Muchova | 26c | 775.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed Osaka | 71c | 704.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6b7fbacked Muchova | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Muchova | 30c | 628$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Muchova | 26c | 600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Muchova | 22c | 580$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Osaka | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Osaka | 74c | 520.86$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Muchova | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Osaka | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…9071backed Muchova | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…730abacked Muchova | 26c | 446.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Osaka | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Osaka | 73c | 408.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Osaka | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Osaka | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Muchova | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Muchova | 25c | 396.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Muchova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Muchova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…a3f3backed Muchova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Osaka | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Muchova | 17c | 348.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Muchova | 27c | 345$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Muchova | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Osaka | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Osaka | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Osaka | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Osaka | 74c | 270.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Muchova | 10c | 223$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Muchova | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff33…4aedbacked Osaka | 73c | 207.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Muchova | 24c | 207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Osaka | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Muchova | 27c | 173.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Osaka | 70c | 168.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Muchova | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Muchova | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Osaka | 74c | 156.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Osaka | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…a17cbacked Muchova | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed Muchova | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…03f8backed Muchova | 19c | 120.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Osaka | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Osaka | 74c | 111.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.