Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209ed01cbf86a271c7dde4acd969ce34591a3b6df445bbccc3bf7a26a593f981

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $215,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	15,929$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.34	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	2c	13,144$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.21	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	6,742$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf386…a1d6backed Yes	1c	6,500$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	4,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	11c	3,416$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.98	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	4c	3,163$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.83	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,051$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.92	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	1c	3,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde71…e7b6backed Yes	3c	2,967$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	13c	2,961$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.87	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	2,370$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.77	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0407…e5c7backed Yes	18c	2,193$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	13c	2,000$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.79	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	8c	1,722$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.42	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-91.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c19…e0d7backed Yes	2c	1,717$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	7c	1,513$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	7c	1,476$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.57	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…e674backed Yes	10c	1,295$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	15c	1,157$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.89	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	1,128$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.48	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ef…7ecbbacked Yes	14c	1,085$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.03	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26a…f740backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	3c	970.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	16c	935.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d97…3078backed Yes	2c	922.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-63%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aea…6617backed Yes	14c	806$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	13c	799.87$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.41	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46e4…51debacked Yes	12c	734.2$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	715.57$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.93	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Yes	14c	709.33$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	18c	698.07$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.65	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes	18c	659.78$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81a…20b2backed Yes	18c	634.18$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e0…adc0backed Yes	16c	603.4$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.54	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	20c	602.67$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c0…c87cbacked Yes	7c	601.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	19c	585.81$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.42	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	15c	546.1$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed Yes	4c	534.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	13c	519.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	17c	512.35$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.1	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	17c	503.83$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.55	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	2c	499.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	13c	499.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	498.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ad…04a8backed Yes	15c	466.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	15c	443.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…994bbacked Yes	4c	381.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a17…0389backed Yes	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6554…bbd6backed Yes	14c	357.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	13c	350$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…376dbacked Yes	12c	349.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	15c	344.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…7473backed Yes	4c	339$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	16c	313.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1a…b41cbacked Yes	16c	312.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	9cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	20c	302.63$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd596…76ebbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…3041backed Yes	14c	290.12$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+153.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	15c	259.47$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.92	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f4…dffdbacked Yes	18c	259.41$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ff…2e8cbacked Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…8adfbacked Yes	4c	228$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5467…8843backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…b862backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	17c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Yes	18c	191.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes	16c	191.34$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc52c…2720backed Yes	11c	184.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…89c2backed Yes	16c	178.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…b45bbacked Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d033backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	11c	145$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa995…e9f7backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	12c	130$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	14c	126.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…f2f2backed Yes	9c	125.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4998…e875backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…1a2cbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccaa…9066backed Yes	13c	120$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x542b…dcf3backed Yes	12c	119$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…1837backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9414…0b42backed Yes	14c	114.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x490c…b628backed Yes	18c	113.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event