TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef45…1905backed Yes9c17,513$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…b848backed Yes13c15,523$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes30c10,903$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c7,509$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.493766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9528…5596backed Yes26c2,670$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No70c2,097$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.785759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes11c1,734$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.797955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes15c1,629$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.252615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes16c1,463$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.32277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes21c1,280$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4512523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes11c1,128$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.982673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No80c1,103$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.086051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ca…3daebacked Yes10c1,043$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-66%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes14c990.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes15c919.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.46336.5%23 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No72c834.56$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.586966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes17c820.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4711547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929f…036cbacked Yes27c727.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes10c664.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes3c597.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No73c573.94$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.595763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a803backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes7c542$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes15c539.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes9c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes16c497.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes9c491.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Yes21c476.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63bc…5a93backed Yes15c465.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes7c397.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b0…da32backed Yes3c387.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes16c371.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa796…8d99backed Yes11c366.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes8c346$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.681136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes9c316.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.818427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes15c306.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8290%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes23c285.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes14c274$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.465619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes20c259.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.812846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes24c252.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.63828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No71c220.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.929165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No71c220$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.56633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes16c210.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.576732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed No79c203.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.671080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…75d7backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes10c189.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.986410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19f…008abacked Yes8c189.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae4c…8037backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No77c161.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.411258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…a99bbacked Yes9c161.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Yes9c147.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No77c140.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3512646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce87…2f3fbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…9b74backed Yes17c117.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes26c117.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c70…7eddbacked Yes23c115$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd4…d0fcbacked Yes19c106.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd6…e41dbacked Yes12c101.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…549ebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2390…ed54backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d5…d45abacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d7…b96bbacked Yes13c97.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No75c92.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.917659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe090…4d44backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e89…6d62backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…0047backed Yes27c73.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes21c71.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes22c70.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.525540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed No74c69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-80.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53ae…9574backed Yes23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.253243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…858abacked Yes20c50.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No80c45.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f3…af78backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No76c31.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3764…9d7ebacked No78c25.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c16.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.457944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.