Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290e810b1b7bd30da7d91749e5f533a27370dc9f4a94c4febbc4ea659fac8520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed Yes | 1c | 14,550$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 9c | 13,605$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed Yes | 7c | 12,448$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.92 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,153$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 0c | 3,789$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,485$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Yes | 4c | 2,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,699$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…abd5backed Yes | 0c | 2,600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 6c | 2,408$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…a660backed Yes | 2c | 2,347$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,487$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,308$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Yes | 8c | 1,051$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Yes | 6c | 1,034$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…7a72backed Yes | 8c | 611.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 8c | 545.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…be7bbacked Yes | 3c | 366.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +439.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…19e2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 5c | 220.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 9c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…4ca5backed Yes | 9c | 127.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will England win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.