TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof Canada, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$758,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$822,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf4a4…3117backed Canada1c136,115$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.97128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ae…2f20backed Canada1c53,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.54637%17 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Canada1c13,629$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-84.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Canada3c12,564$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.856440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Canada0c12,300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Canada4c12,300$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924025%10 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed Canada1c10,002$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5512357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Canada1c10,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.99128.6%26 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa01a…4497backed Canada1c9,017$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906e…a4e0backed Canada1c8,768$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Canada2c7,868$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.674143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Canada1c7,552$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.38427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Canada1c7,019$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.797027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Canada4c6,993$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3511524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Canada1c5,614$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…e342backed Canada1c5,346$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.111127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Canada0c5,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.131027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aeb…966abacked Canada1c4,945$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.550%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf417…9c71backed Canada2c4,819$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf79…6199backed Canada1c4,590$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.691010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa09b…071ebacked Canada3c4,200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3110513.3%14 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd781…aebdbacked Canada0c4,111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043729.7%11 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6e…eb7dbacked Canada1c3,295$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.072910.3%3 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-57.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8771…94aebacked Canada2c3,145$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73d1…a989backed Canada3c2,900$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffd…74bfbacked Canada2c2,845$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.076817.6%12 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df0…4adfbacked Canada1c2,700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.213247.7%63 W · 69 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Canada3c2,567$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Canada1c2,523$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2114546.2%67 W · 78 L+16.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked Canada1c2,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Canada4c2,500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.512524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Canada3c2,493$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.544415.9%7 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-70.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5001…024bbacked Canada1c2,464$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Canada3c2,418$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.811195.9%7 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7b…32a6backed Canada4c2,389$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.26045%27 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d2…0055backed Canada2c2,370$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.74922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Canada4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2e…e72ebacked Canada4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-65%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8554…febdbacked Canada4c2,228$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…9221backed Canada1c2,222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6625…daedbacked Canada5c2,123$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2a…2760backed Canada5c2,100$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Canada5c2,081$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.474637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…5e13backed Canada5c2,081$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Canada5c2,058$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Canada1c2,040$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.432415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee8…f214backed Canada2c1,859$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.380%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x101b…a993backed Canada2c1,830$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Canada3c1,629$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-85.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4830…a59dbacked Canada1c1,606$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136013.3%8 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee65…5067backed Canada4c1,600$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.74332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed Canada4c1,575$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638631.4%27 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…1e25backed Canada1c1,533$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Canada1c1,507$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.126130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…4c5cbacked Canada3c1,503$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.231414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca9…233abacked Canada5c1,500$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-82%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…f9efbacked Canada3c1,462$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Canada4c1,444$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.553534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030e…cc56backed Canada2c1,408$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Canada2c1,400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Canada4c1,396$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.182441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Canada2c1,390$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.855616.1%9 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-41.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked Canada2c1,368$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251926.3%5 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Canada3c1,361$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.621729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Canada4c1,315$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.123638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd4…1b34backed Canada4c1,265$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.982025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed76…1f42backed Canada4c1,231$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Canada4c1,206$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-76.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c1…0f68backed Canada3c1,202$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.260%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Canada3c1,200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611625%29 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb671…619bbacked Canada1c1,108$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Canada4c1,100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.313241.7%55 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc59…c720backed Canada2c1,100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3531…577dbacked Canada4c1,096$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.05425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Canada3c1,091$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2867931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b1…23e6backed Canada1c1,082$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a0…96bfbacked Canada2c1,058$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…70dabacked Canada2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8473…0e99backed Canada4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Canada3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7176…bc8cbacked Canada3c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.92133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x117f…e558backed Canada4c999.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Canada1c946.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Canada3c913.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaceb…6253backed Canada4c902.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Canada4c861$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.141631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Canada2c784$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-59.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8a…d1a8backed Canada2c741.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445f…cc13backed Canada3c731.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Canada3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf424…3d9dbacked Canada4c700$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Canada1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510045%45 W · 55 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Canada3c647.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224717%8 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff86…4329backed Canada4c600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b26…cfc5backed Canada4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…4747backed Canada4c577.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.592714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Canada3c573$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da3…1ccdbacked Canada3c563.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892d…b71ebacked Canada3c562.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…6ea1backed Canada5c536.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.