AI · resolved market
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced98d0868ecc91d9e94a5edb2c19b6652356df3c2a8f583f6ed5e3c66bd0693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 70c | 32,861$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 30c | 22,249$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 24c | 13,052$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.11 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 5c | 11,573$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 25c | 7,496$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.35 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…7885backed Yes | 16c | 6,493$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked No | 56c | 6,447$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 25c | 5,674$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.49 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 76c | 3,648$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed Yes | 30c | 3,551$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…42b7backed No | 74c | 3,427$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 3c | 2,970$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,778$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.68 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,772$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,681$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.61 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 68c | 1,999$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 66c | 1,844$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,430$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,344$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…6406backed Yes | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…1c56backed Yes | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…711bbacked Yes | 21c | 944.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 47c | 936$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 900.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 11c | 843.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed No | 64c | 777.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 25c | 718.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…9ebfbacked Yes | 37c | 680$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 65c | 649.99$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 21c | 608.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 68c | 600.72$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 33c | 574.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 2c | 542.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 530.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 79c | 467.04$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…8dbbbacked No | 35c | 456.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…32c1backed Yes | 39c | 447.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4e08backed No | 69c | 430.05$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…ecc1backed Yes | 18c | 402.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…b2b3backed Yes | 36c | 399.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e630backed Yes | 31c | 399.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 3c | 392.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…2fe8backed No | 66c | 392$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…4a7fbacked Yes | 27c | 375.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed No | 66c | 367.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 33c | 348.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 15c | 337.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544b…fb12backed No | 60c | 335.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…cf38backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…f1febacked Yes | 24c | 301.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…10eabacked No | 67c | 296.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…b6a5backed No | 69c | 288.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Yes | 9c | 271.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…1532backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 71c | 248$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…45f3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…92bbbacked Yes | 39c | 228.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 24c | 221.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…eee9backed Yes | 56c | 214.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 74c | 203.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed No | 75c | 195$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked No | 80c | 187.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 65c | 184.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed Yes | 20c | 180.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…5c6cbacked No | 53c | 179.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 37c | 163.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 68c | 162.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…2f3cbacked No | 63c | 158.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 31c | 152.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…9084backed Yes | 38c | 150.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…aaa1backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…5c81backed Yes | 56c | 149.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd877…c974backed Yes | 22c | 147.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…335fbacked Yes | 51c | 142.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…b820backed No | 71c | 141.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…0b87backed Yes | 44c | 139.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 133.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…fe22backed No | 78c | 128.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 35c | 127.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf510…ede8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 29c | 122.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…4e33backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 109.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5759backed No | 71c | 107.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…d5afbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…21a5backed No | 70c | 102.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.