Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1e3a0174384565058e76c0897fb53005b56e6f98bb7a5222e6fe5b299beac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 71c | 3,861$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 41c | 2,170$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 1c | 1,522$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…ec8cbacked No | 36c | 1,449$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed Yes | 70c | 1,435$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 48c | 1,327$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 1,158$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 73c | 937.73$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 34c | 934.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 44c | 932.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 58c | 766.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 18c | 695$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 71c | 649.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 30c | 613.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 24c | 605.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 66c | 508.24$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…cd4bbacked No | 7c | 500.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 20c | 500.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 63c | 437.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb3…2965backed Yes | 47c | 424.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 22cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked No | 10c | 381.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 51c | 373.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 24c | 348.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 344.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 42c | 299.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 17c | 277.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +255%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed Yes | 70c | 260.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 79c | 251.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed No | 18c | 248.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 42c | 248.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…db58backed Yes | 45c | 222.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 24c | 201.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…00a4backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 12c | 179.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 20c | 168.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked No | 31c | 159.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…2123backed No | 77c | 149.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…afd1backed No | 68c | 147.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…16b7backed Yes | 72c | 138.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 53c | 137.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 75c | 133.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…70a2backed Yes | 77c | 130.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 78c | 127.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 27c | 120.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 29c | 113.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…3bdebacked No | 38c | 106.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 39c | 104.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 28c | 103.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 103.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 27c | 101.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…7889backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…ee79backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176f…0fa3backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 95.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c8…c416backed No | 16c | 91.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…3d55backed No | 79c | 89.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 69c | 87.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 68c | 74.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0193backed Yes | 56c | 71.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 66c | 68.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 44c | 65.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 63.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…d8a0backed No | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…2587backed No | 44c | 56.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 22c | 55.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 26c | 51.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 27c | 47.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 46.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46c…3878backed No | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 48c | 41.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…3256backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 45c | 37.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 61c | 32.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…5441backed No | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…60fcbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.