Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3383d4d20917eb9d5f1677d4ef1bdc472b25e9ea49ee8c216431e04dacf767ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 71c | 4,251$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.35 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 24c | 1,347$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 63c | 805.79$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 64c | 792.33$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 68c | 737.84$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed Yes | 42c | 557.77$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 38c | 519.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 30c | 460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 37c | 369.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 38c | 335.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 62c | 299.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 279$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 263.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 37c | 261$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…4dccbacked Yes | 38c | 255.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 11c | 254.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 44c | 228.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 54c | 220.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 216.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…f60ebacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca9…d5c2backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 63c | 169.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Yes | 31c | 163.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…8c77backed Yes | 73c | 160$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…adc9backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…d389backed Yes | 38c | 103.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…0f86backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 38c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed No | 71c | 79.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed No | 74c | 71.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…a8c9backed Yes | 14c | 71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 47c | 70.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed No | 62c | 67.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d96backed Yes | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7feabacked Yes | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 37c | 56.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…a4c9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…cf77backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed No | 68c | 45.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed No | 62c | 40.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 71c | 30.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 63c | 30.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…dcfebacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…daeabacked No | 63c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 63c | 27.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 54c | 21.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…801bbacked No | 70c | 20.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…b245backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 63c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?this page
- Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?Yes won
- Will David Wilkins replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?No won
- Will Joe Wilson replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?No won
- Will Nancy Mace replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?No won
- Will Ralph Norman replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?No won
- Will Russell Fry replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?No won
- Will no one replace Graham as South Carolina Senator by the midterms?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.