China Taiwan · resolved market
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b15fe2609e034a700e0ec6bcc6565d234f2c17a4ecb648ad75a3f0f1b42449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 0c | 94,806$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 1c | 20,812$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 2c | 16,514$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 0c | 13,536$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 0c | 13,227$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 1c | 10,248$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…bc7dbacked No | 8c | 6,664$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…44a4backed No | 9c | 5,947$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…c0ebbacked No | 3c | 5,691$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…f3aabacked No | 5c | 5,163$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…d67bbacked No | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed No | 0c | 4,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 0c | 3,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…3ab1backed No | 4c | 3,120$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 3c | 2,996$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 1c | 2,820$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 4c | 2,818$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 5c | 2,405$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed No | 8c | 1,808$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 4c | 1,800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…000bbacked No | 1c | 1,628$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 6c | 1,569$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 5c | 1,556$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed No | 2c | 1,335$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 4c | 1,232$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 10c | 1,201$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 22cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…8c6cbacked No | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 3c | 1,021$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 5c | 959.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 72c | 937$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…de8dbacked No | 3c | 882.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…06c4backed No | 6c | 867.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5976backed No | 2c | 690.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 28c | 631$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked No | 33c | 606.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 3c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 569.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 4c | 550.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…b1d8backed No | 7c | 371.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 6c | 324.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked No | 4c | 317.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 28c | 306$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 8c | 258.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…e07dbacked No | 11c | 246.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed No | 15c | 246.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 7c | 145.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…9e85backed No | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…8ea9backed No | 34c | 88.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 29c | 44.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…29eabacked Yes | 78c | 37.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…9f89backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…03f6backed Yes | 78c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 78c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?this page
- Will Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No won
- Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No won
- Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Noetix Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.