China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578530a1d0dc0a71c2f7b0dddf7f9b6efdb279d60e45629a7125563c0d33ab46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 4c | 961.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 10c | 811$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 4c | 740.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 2c | 650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 637.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 522.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 370.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 369.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 7c | 211.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?this page
- Will Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No won
- Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Noetix Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes won
- Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.