UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692c4891ebed3dee349feaa1d055511c071d51dadbc5207cc15920d54eb866ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tahir Abdullayevof Tahir Abdullayev, Jefferson Nascimento
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 26,123$14,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,777.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 24,649$14,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,031.12 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Jefferson Nascimento | 58c | 20,000$11,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,530.81 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Tahir Abdullayev | 42c | 12,223$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.51 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 10,538$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.23 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 48c | 10,106$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.03 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Jefferson Nascimento | 43c | 9,634$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.39 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 9,381$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tahir Abdullayev | 53c | 9,349$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.56 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 9,342$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,231.53 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 8,319$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.09 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 8,127$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 8,000$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 7,965$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 5,929$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tahir Abdullayev | 52c | 5,432$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.87 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 5,310$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Tahir Abdullayev | 41c | 5,103$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.9 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 4,404$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.52 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 4,246$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.21 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tahir Abdullayev | 79c | 3,786$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.52 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 3,769$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.91 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 3,325$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 3,248$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.31 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tahir Abdullayev | 45c | 3,167$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.88 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Tahir Abdullayev | 71c | 2,932$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 2,670$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.6 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Tahir Abdullayev | 42c | 2,570$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Jefferson Nascimento | 1c | 2,376$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 71c | 1,908$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Jefferson Nascimento | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Jefferson Nascimento | 34c | 1,714$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 1,697$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tahir Abdullayev | 73c | 1,632$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.18 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Jefferson Nascimento | 39c | 1,529$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.15 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…09b0backed Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 1,422$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 27c | 1,309$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tahir Abdullayev | 58c | 1,301$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Tahir Abdullayev | 42c | 1,291$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 1,208$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Tahir Abdullayev | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 38c | 1,194$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.94 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Tahir Abdullayev | 76c | 1,191$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Tahir Abdullayev | 48c | 1,130$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.04 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Tahir Abdullayev | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 990.7$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Tahir Abdullayev | 77c | 955$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tahir Abdullayev | 42c | 934.65$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.7 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 932$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jefferson Nascimento | 35c | 930.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.29 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tahir Abdullayev | 58c | 872$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 802.51$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.43 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Jefferson Nascimento | 41c | 798.51$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Tahir Abdullayev | 61c | 766.87$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 59c | 738.35$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 721$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 720.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 708.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.23 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 682.7$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.46 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 59c | 663.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 7c | 639.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 624.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Tahir Abdullayev | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Tahir Abdullayev | 65c | 583.3$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Tahir Abdullayev | 46c | 569.13$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Jefferson Nascimento | 58c | 545.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Jefferson Nascimento | 39c | 529.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 520.45$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Jefferson Nascimento | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Tahir Abdullayev | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 498$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tahir Abdullayev | 50c | 484.64$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 470.06$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Tahir Abdullayev | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 403.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Tahir Abdullayev | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 395.2$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.36 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 384.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 54c | 368.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 364.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tahir Abdullayev | 43c | 353.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tahir Abdullayev | 63c | 342.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Jefferson Nascimento | 56c | 342.28$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Jefferson Nascimento | 32c | 339.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Tahir Abdullayev | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jefferson Nascimento | 52c | 321.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Jefferson Nascimento | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tahir Abdullayev | 66c | 306.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Tahir Abdullayev | 67c | 306.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 280$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 57c | 272.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Jefferson Nascimento | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Tahir Abdullayev win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.