NHL · resolved market
Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8368ed9e03daeb5444e101f2fbc557f430bb53ab26425014966a11e5f6f6d027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 32c | 1,075$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.26 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…97eabacked No | 68c | 163.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…7761backed No | 68c | 152.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked No | 68c | 151.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…243bbacked No | 68c | 131.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed No | 68c | 129.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed No | 68c | 127.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 75c | 99.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked No | 68c | 53.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 69c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.44per pick | 52cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…acdebacked No | 69c | 19.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?this page
- Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes won
- Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.