UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c92cf409cd012d4e8e3193e74ac201ac960ae6d4aebfaad8f83d086b0f993fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Veraof Rodrigo Vera, Zhu Kangjie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Zhu Kangjie | 53c | 37,304$19,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,761.15 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Rodrigo Vera | 65c | 27,124$17,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,482.27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Rodrigo Vera | 49c | 12,963$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 10,700$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Rodrigo Vera | 49c | 10,001$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.12 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 7,455$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.54 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 6,340$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Zhu Kangjie | 53c | 5,000$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.71 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 4,960$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 4,935$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.34 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Zhu Kangjie | 53c | 4,890$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.7 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Zhu Kangjie | 3c | 4,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 3,431$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Zhu Kangjie | 1c | 3,346$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Zhu Kangjie | 6c | 3,292$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Rodrigo Vera | 62c | 3,159$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.01 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 3,088$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 2,450$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Zhu Kangjie | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 1,922$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Zhu Kangjie | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 1,274$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Rodrigo Vera | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Zhu Kangjie | 8c | 1,098$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Rodrigo Vera | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Zhu Kangjie | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Rodrigo Vera | 49c | 999.88$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 954$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Zhu Kangjie | 14c | 909.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 886.84$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Zhu Kangjie | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 751$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Zhu Kangjie | 55c | 732.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 682$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 669.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 528.72$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 512.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Rodrigo Vera | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 458$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Rodrigo Vera | 43c | 431$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Zhu Kangjie | 32c | 425.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Zhu Kangjie | 49c | 365.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 352.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Zhu Kangjie | 24c | 345$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Zhu Kangjie | 49c | 341.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 331.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 319.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Zhu Kangjie | 37c | 310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 309.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rodrigo Vera | 47c | 306.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 51c | 306.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Rodrigo Vera | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rodrigo Vera | 49c | 289.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 286.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Zhu Kangjie | 6c | 269.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 265.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 259.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 253.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…4c24backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 252.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 236.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Rodrigo Vera | 51c | 233.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Zhu Kangjie | 26c | 225$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Zhu Kangjie | 26c | 225$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zhu Kangjie | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 203.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Zhu Kangjie | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 196.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Zhu Kangjie | 38c | 188.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 174.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Rodrigo Vera | 49c | 168.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 163.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zhu Kangjie | 17c | 146$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 138.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 128.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Rodrigo Vera | 52c | 105.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Zhu Kangjie | 64c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Rodrigo Vera | 50c | 104.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Rodrigo Vera | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Zhu Kangjie | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Zhu Kangjie win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.