NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38ca03cc77eaff2edc8e8b04a65145a417d553d53b9351e0c4186d088bb0e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 929.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…7784backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 353.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 350.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 312.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ak Bars Kazan | 24c | 252.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 249.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 201.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…d468backed Ak Bars Kazan | 26c | 183.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 59c | 168.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 111.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…7352backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 100.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 35c | 93.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 41c | 90.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 88.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 71.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 70.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…b9f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 18c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 54.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 42.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…03d2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4728backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…5421backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 32.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 24.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.