Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7856eac25abb050208c1efa007089c93a932988e058b8cf14ddcf42f9cdead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 36c | 23,639$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.49 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 6,548$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 5,077$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 66c | 3,806$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.31 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,570$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.85 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 1,811$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.59 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 66c | 1,738$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.38 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 65c | 1,153$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.55 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 1,114$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.93 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 36c | 978.47$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 753.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 704.28$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 629.44$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 260.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 249.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 79c | 247.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 240.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 53c | 207.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 65c | 201.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 194$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 47c | 179.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 165.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 160.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 22c | 134.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 73c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 35c | 100.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 41c | 96.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 92.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 86.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 75c | 83.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 25c | 77.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 75.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 64c | 64.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 65c | 62.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 47c | 61.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 54c | 42.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 36c | 40.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 38c | 39.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 64c | 38.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 63c | 38.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 43c | 37.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 64c | 32.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 38c | 31.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 62c | 30.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 65c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 36c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 74c | 29.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 58c | 29.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 45c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 62c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.