Fifa International · resolved market
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8dcab9edf9fd9b495dd5c512034440ebaff28d3b8cca05f3346c3d04ee3de3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 18c | 1,083$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.33 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 19c | 1,005$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.83 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5013…17eabacked Yes | 23c | 631.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 19c | 512.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.36 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes | 19c | 510.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.87 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 76c | 446.51$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 27c | 365.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…974cbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 75c | 286.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 30c | 265$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 188.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Yes | 19c | 148.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…e4b9backed Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 105.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…8af7backed Yes | 20c | 101.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…bcf2backed Yes | 19c | 98.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…3d7fbacked Yes | 18c | 85.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 33.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 80c | 17.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cédric Itten: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ shotsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Promise David: 2+ shotsYes won
- Promise David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ruben Vargas: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.