Jonathan David: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bbb4c21bc8cfce4ff21d3726c5b1b35f5a18ce789958d0accc34540d5a70c8

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,897 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	17c	2,620$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.97	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	76c	2,188$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.53	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Yes	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No	74c	1,936$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.47	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	72c	1,563$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.5	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	72c	1,004$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.23	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	74c	932.91$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.56	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes	28c	753.57$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	109	37.6%41 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400b…705fbacked Yes	28c	705.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	74c	584$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.84	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	79c	506.87$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No	71c	412.15$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.52	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed Yes	28c	355.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes	28c	354.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes	29c	347.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	27.2%34 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes	30c	329.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cf…17e2backed Yes	28c	321.43$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e66…d50fbacked Yes	28c	300$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	72c	279.96$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.49	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe49…c9e7backed Yes	20c	242.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.57	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No	75c	222.51$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.63	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes	28c	181.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	26c	169.23$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1406…b512backed Yes	26c	150.27$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	73c	148.33$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.05	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cab…6777backed Yes	25c	138.56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No	73c	135.96$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	76c	128.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.56	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	69c	125.16$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes	26c	112.26$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…e821backed Yes	25c	110.96$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes	21c	107.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes	20c	102$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	254	37.4%95 W · 159 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08e2…1371backed No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	147	63.9%94 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	179	33.5%60 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	74c	92.35$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.84	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Yes	26c	88.46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	158	53.2%84 W · 74 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x103b…1e89backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes	28c	75.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172e…3ee3backed Yes	21c	72.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab72…8af7backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450d…b4edbacked Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec2…b015backed No	72c	57$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb55…602dbacked Yes	19c	52.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc92…1965backed Yes	21c	52.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	74c	52.03$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	28c	50.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c5…478fbacked Yes	24c	45.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No	73c	44.91$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.13	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Yes	29c	44.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes	26c	42.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No	71c	41.54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb354…7d49backed Yes	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	70	61.4%43 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	75c	36.54$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	73c	35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	73c	34.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No	71c	29.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38cb…06a6backed No	73c	20.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.49	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	72c	16.01$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.41	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jonathan David: 1+ goalsthis page
Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsYes won
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goalsNo won
Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
Cyle Larin: 2+ shotsNo won
Cyle Larin: 3+ shotsNo won
Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Cédric Itten: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsYes won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsYes won
Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 2+ shotsYes won
Johan Manzambi: 3+ shotsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 4+ shotsNo won
Jonathan David: 2+ assistsNo won
Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
Jonathan David: 3+ shotsNo won
Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Noah Okafor: 2+ goalsNo won
Noah Okafor: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Promise David: 1+ shotsYes won
Promise David: 2+ shotsYes won
Promise David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ruben Vargas: 1+ assistsNo won
Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsYes won
Ruben Vargas: 2+ goalsNo won
Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
Zeki Amdouni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jonathan David: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event